DEN at LACLAC -2.5o/u 44.5

ST Model LAC -0.7(-1.8 vs market)

Since first recorded LAC -2.5o/u 44.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

DEN — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

on the road	100-111	47%	-1.3	25/211	n=211
vs LAC	24-24	50%	-0.8	6/48	n=48
as an underdog	91-82	53%	-0.1	24/173	n=173
spread 1-2.5	38-42	48%	+0.5	11/80	n=80
in a division game	73-80	48%	-0.7	18/153	n=153
in the Sunday late window	110-120	48%	-0.1	29/230	n=230
in October	50-53	49%	-1.3	12/103	n=103
indoors	19-26	42%	-1.7	11/45	n=45
on turf	37-47	44%	-2.9	15/84	n=84
at this venue	2-5	29%	-5.4	3/7	n=7
under this head coach	27-26	51%	+1.4	53/53	n=53
in the last 5 seasons	42-45	48%	+0.2	53/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=427
DEN has covered 3 straight	n=3

DEN — combinations

52 lean DEN · 286 lean against

Read this first. 384 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 1-2.5 + under this head coach	7-4	64%from 48%	+5.8	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 64%	+5.8	11/11	n=11
in the Sunday late window + under this head coach	17-12	59%from 48%	+4.0	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-12	59%from 59%	+4.0	29/29	n=29
in October + under this head coach	7-5	58%from 49%	+4.3	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 58%	+4.3	12/12	n=12
vs LAC + in October	8-6	57%from 50%	-2.1	1/14	n=14
as an underdog + spread 1-2.5	20-16	56%from 53%	+2.3	3/36	n=36
+ in the Sunday late window	10-7	59%from 56%	+3.6	2/17	n=17
+ in October	2-3	40%from 59%	-7.9	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 59%	+3.0	2/5	n=5
+ on turf	6-5	55%from 56%	-0.8	2/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 56%	+2.1	3/10	n=10
+ in a division game	5-6	45%from 56%	+0.4	1/11	n=11
+ in the Sunday late window	3-4	43%from 45%	-0.6	1/7	n=7
+ in October	5-6	45%from 56%	-3.4	0/11	n=11
+ indoors	2-4	33%from 56%	-2.7	2/6	n=6
+ on turf	2-3	40%from 33%	-1.9	2/5	n=5
as an underdog + in the last 5 seasons	21-18	54%from 53%	+0.9	24/39	n=39
as an underdog + in the Sunday late window	39-34	53%from 53%	+0.3	10/73	n=73
+ under this head coach	6-4	60%from 53%	+4.1	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 60%	+4.1	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-7	53%from 53%	+2.4	10/15	n=15
+ on turf	5-7	42%from 53%	+0.3	3/12	n=12
+ in October	7-10	41%from 53%	-3.6	2/17	n=17
+ indoors	1-8	11%from 53%	-7.5	3/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 11%	-1.9	3/5	n=5
+ on turf	1-5	17%from 11%	-5.0	2/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

LAC — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

at home	100-111	47%	-0.1	17/211	n=211
vs DEN	24-24	50%	+0.8	4/48	n=48
as a favorite	115-125	48%	-0.2	26/240	n=240
spread 1-2.5	43-42	51%	+1.1	10/85	n=85
in a division game	81-72	53%	-0.1	12/153	n=153
in the Sunday late window	106-117	48%	-0.5	12/223	n=223
in October	50-49	51%	+1.6	7/99	n=99
indoors	47-37	56%	-0.9	23/84	n=84
on turf	64-56	53%	-0.1	23/120	n=120
at this venue	26-23	53%	-1.6	17/49	n=49
under this head coach	22-14	61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
in the last 5 seasons	46-40	53%	-0.6	36/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423
LAC has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAC — combinations

303 lean LAC · 151 lean against

Read this first. 522 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 19.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + under this head coach	11-1	92%from 53%	+4.9	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-1	92%from 92%	+4.9	12/12	n=12
vs DEN + spread 1-2.5	6-2	75%from 50%	+7.6	1/8	n=8
+ in the Sunday late window	5-1	83%from 75%	+10.3	1/6	n=6
+ in a division game	6-2	75%from 75%	+7.6	1/8	n=8
+ in the Sunday late window	5-1	83%from 75%	+10.3	1/6	n=6
in a division game + on turf	14-5	74%from 53%	+2.3	6/19	n=19
+ under this head coach	6-0	100%from 74%	+5.0	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-0	100%from 100%	+5.0	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 74%	+2.1	6/14	n=14
+ at this venue	12-5	71%from 74%	+1.9	6/17	n=17
+ under this head coach	6-0	100%from 71%	+5.0	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+2.1	6/14	n=14
at home + under this head coach	12-5	71%from 47%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-5	71%from 71%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
in a division game + at this venue	12-5	71%from 53%	+1.9	6/17	n=17
+ under this head coach	6-0	100%from 71%	+5.0	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-0	100%from 100%	+5.0	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+2.1	6/14	n=14
at this venue + under this head coach	12-5	71%from 53%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-5	71%from 71%	+1.1	17/17	n=17
indoors + under this head coach	16-7	70%from 56%	+1.2	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-7	70%from 70%	+1.2	23/23	n=23
in the Sunday late window + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 48%	-1.9	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	-1.9	12/12	n=12

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.