CLE at NYJNYJ -1.5o/u 39.5

ST Model NYJ -1.1(-0.4 vs market)

Since first recorded NYJ -2.51 → CLEo/u 40.5-149d ago · 1 books · 1 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

CLE — the basics

415 graded games since 1999

on the road	94-117	45%	-2.0	0/211	n=211
vs NYJ	6-9	40%	-1.4	0/15	n=15
as an underdog	135-159	46%	-1.4	0/294	n=294
spread 1-2.5	41-54	43%	-2.5	0/95	n=95
off a bye	15-26	37%	-1.9	0/41	n=41
in the Sunday early window	133-171	44%	-2.0	0/304	n=304
in October	45-57	44%	-1.3	0/102	n=102
outdoors	171-211	45%	-2.0	0/382	n=382
on turf	41-54	43%	-1.7	0/95	n=95
at this venue	2-5	29%	-4.7	0/7	n=7
in the last 5 seasons	36-48	43%	-2.2	0/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CLE — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 415 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=415
CLE has covered 3 straight	n=3

CLE — combinations

0 lean CLE · 226 lean against

Read this first. 238 combinations shown. The best one here is 50%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
as an underdog + outdoors	122-148	45%from 46%	-1.8	0/270	n=270
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-24	48%from 45%	-1.4	0/46	n=46
+ on turf	21-36	37%from 45%	-2.9	0/57	n=57
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 37%	-1.6	0/8	n=8
as an underdog + in the last 5 seasons	23-28	45%from 46%	-1.5	0/51	n=51
as an underdog + in the Sunday early window	96-117	45%from 46%	-1.6	0/213	n=213
+ outdoors	85-108	44%from 45%	-2.0	0/193	n=193
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-19	46%from 44%	-1.7	0/35	n=35
+ on turf	15-27	36%from 44%	-3.6	0/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-21	43%from 45%	-2.0	0/37	n=37
+ in October	24-33	42%from 45%	-1.5	0/57	n=57
+ outdoors	22-31	42%from 42%	-2.0	0/53	n=53
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-7	36%from 42%	-3.0	0/11	n=11
+ on turf	5-9	36%from 42%	-0.2	0/14	n=14
+ on turf	25-35	42%from 45%	-1.8	0/60	n=60
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 42%	-2.7	0/10	n=10
on the road + as an underdog	81-100	45%from 45%	-1.8	0/181	n=181
+ in the Sunday early window	54-68	44%from 45%	-1.8	0/122	n=122
+ outdoors	43-59	42%from 44%	-2.7	0/102	n=102
+ on turf	24-35	41%from 44%	-2.2	0/59	n=59
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-14	36%from 44%	-4.6	0/22	n=22
+ in October	11-20	35%from 44%	-2.2	0/31	n=31
+ outdoors	68-89	43%from 45%	-2.4	0/157	n=157
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-16	38%from 43%	-4.1	0/26	n=26
+ on turf	20-36	36%from 43%	-3.4	0/56	n=56
+ on turf	30-46	39%from 45%	-2.1	0/76	n=76
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-9	18%from 39%	-5.9	0/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-20	35%from 45%	-3.9	0/31	n=31
+ in October	15-29	34%from 45%	-2.3	0/44	n=44
+ on turf	6-11	35%from 34%	+0.5	0/17	n=17
+ outdoors	13-26	33%from 34%	-3.1	0/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 34%	-5.6	0/6	n=6
+ spread 1-2.5	8-17	32%from 45%	-2.5	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 32%	-2.6	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	8-15	35%from 32%	-2.5	0/23	n=23
+ in the Sunday early window	6-12	33%from 32%	-1.6	0/18	n=18
+ on turf	2-9	18%from 32%	-5.0	0/11	n=11
+ off a bye	5-13	28%from 45%	-4.1	0/18	n=18
+ on turf	3-5	38%from 28%	-3.9	0/8	n=8
+ in the Sunday early window	3-7	30%from 28%	-6.7	0/10	n=10
+ outdoors	3-12	20%from 28%	-5.2	0/15	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

NYJ — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	100-108	48%	-0.1	9/208	n=208
vs CLE	9-6	60%	+1.4	1/15	n=15
as a favorite	74-84	47%	-1.5	2/158	n=158
spread 1-2.5	46-49	48%	-1.2	5/95	n=95
in the Sunday early window	119-122	49%	+0.4	14/241	n=241
in October	49-52	49%	-1.4	4/101	n=101
outdoors	179-208	46%	-1.0	16/387	n=387
on turf	127-148	46%	-0.8	12/275	n=275
at this venue	64-67	49%	-0.4	9/131	n=131
under this head coach	7-10	41%	-5.7	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	33-51	39%	-2.8	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NYJ — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -6.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=419
NYJ has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

NYJ — combinations

81 lean NYJ · 210 lean against

Read this first. 319 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs CLE + in the Sunday early window	9-1	90%from 60%	+5.5	1/10	n=10
+ outdoors	9-1	90%from 90%	+5.5	1/10	n=10
vs CLE + as a favorite	6-1	86%from 60%	+3.7	0/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday early window	6-1	86%from 86%	+3.7	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	6-1	86%from 86%	+3.7	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	6-1	86%from 86%	+3.7	0/7	n=7
vs CLE + spread 1-2.5	5-1	83%from 60%	+2.4	1/6	n=6
+ in the Sunday early window	5-0	100%from 83%	+4.1	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	5-0	100%from 100%	+4.1	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	5-1	83%from 83%	+2.4	1/6	n=6
vs CLE + at this venue	4-1	80%from 60%	+6.9	1/5	n=5
vs CLE + on turf	4-2	67%from 60%	+5.3	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 67%	+6.9	1/5	n=5
in October + at this venue	22-14	61%from 49%	+0.4	3/36	n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 61%	+4.5	3/11	n=11
vs CLE + outdoors	9-6	60%from 60%	+1.4	1/15	n=15
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 60%	+6.9	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-2	67%from 60%	+5.3	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 67%	+6.9	1/5	n=5
in October + in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 49%	+1.4	4/21	n=21
at home + vs CLE	4-3	57%from 48%	+3.6	1/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday early window	4-1	80%from 57%	+8.4	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+8.4	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 57%	+6.9	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-2	67%from 57%	+5.3	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 67%	+6.9	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-3	57%from 57%	+3.6	1/7	n=7
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 57%	+6.9	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-2	67%from 57%	+5.3	1/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.