CIN at MIACIN -5.75o/u 49.5

ST Model MIA -0.6(+6.4 vs market)

Since first recorded CIN -5.5o/u 49.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books · 1 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

CIN — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	119-93	56%	+0.4	62/212	n=212
vs MIA	5-7	42%	+1.4	4/12	n=12
as a favorite	94-91	51%	-0.9	56/185	n=185
spread 3.5-6.5	79-69	53%	-0.6	44/148	n=148
in the Sunday early window	148-147	50%	-0.4	74/295	n=295
in October	45-54	45%	-1.5	28/99	n=99
outdoors	197-187	51%	-0.4	109/384	n=384
on grass	100-84	54%	+0.3	62/184	n=184
at this venue	2-3	40%	+4.3	3/5	n=5
under this head coach	67-53	56%	+0.1	120/120	n=120
in the last 5 seasons	52-36	59%	+0.7	88/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CIN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=419

CIN — combinations

183 lean CIN · 77 lean against

Read this first. 282 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 3.5-6.5 + in the last 5 seasons	28-6	82%from 53%	+5.7	34/34	n=34
spread 3.5-6.5 + under this head coach	33-11	75%from 53%	+3.6	44/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	28-6	82%from 75%	+5.7	34/34	n=34
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	22-11	67%from 54%	+2.9	33/33	n=33
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	30-16	65%from 56%	+1.5	46/46	n=46
on the road + under this head coach	38-24	61%from 56%	+0.7	62/62	n=62
+ in the last 5 seasons	30-16	65%from 61%	+1.5	46/46	n=46
in October + in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 45%	+0.8	20/20	n=20
as a favorite + in the last 5 seasons	31-21	60%from 51%	-0.4	52/52	n=52
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	52-36	59%from 56%	+0.7	88/88	n=88
on the road + spread 3.5-6.5	44-31	59%from 56%	+0.8	27/75	n=75
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-3	86%from 59%	+6.6	21/21	n=21
+ under this head coach	21-6	78%from 59%	+3.9	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-3	86%from 78%	+6.6	21/21	n=21
+ outdoors	38-25	60%from 59%	+1.3	25/63	n=63
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-3	84%from 60%	+6.2	19/19	n=19
+ under this head coach	19-6	76%from 60%	+3.3	25/25	n=25
+ on grass	28-20	58%from 60%	+0.7	20/48	n=48
+ on grass	29-22	57%from 59%	+0.3	20/51	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-3	80%from 57%	+5.3	15/15	n=15
+ under this head coach	14-6	70%from 57%	+2.2	20/20	n=20
+ in the Sunday early window	27-22	55%from 59%	+1.6	14/49	n=49
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 55%	+6.5	11/11	n=11
+ under this head coach	11-3	79%from 55%	+5.5	14/14	n=14
+ outdoors	23-19	55%from 55%	+1.6	13/42	n=42
+ on grass	16-14	53%from 55%	+1.7	10/30	n=30
+ in October	3-6	33%from 55%	+2.8	3/9	n=9
+ in October	5-8	38%from 59%	+0.7	5/13	n=13
+ under this head coach	5-0	100%from 38%	+15.0	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-0	100%from 38%	+15.0	5/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-5	38%from 38%	-0.3	3/8	n=8
+ outdoors	4-7	36%from 38%	-0.6	4/11	n=11

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

MIA — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	103-106	49%	-0.1	0/209	n=209
vs CIN	7-5	58%	-1.4	0/12	n=12
as an underdog	121-121	50%	+0.2	0/242	n=242
spread 3.5-6.5	67-71	49%	-1.3	0/138	n=138
in the Sunday early window	134-137	49%	-0.2	0/271	n=271
in October	47-49	49%	+0.1	0/96	n=96
outdoors	188-191	50%	-0.3	0/379	n=379
on grass	148-156	49%	-0.1	0/304	n=304
at this venue	102-104	50%	-0.0	0/206	n=206
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	0/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

MIA — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=419

MIA — combinations

140 lean MIA · 103 lean against

Read this first. 269 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs CIN + in October	4-1	80%from 58%	+4.6	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+4.6	0/5	n=5
vs CIN + on grass	4-2	67%from 58%	-2.3	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 67%	-4.3	0/5	n=5
at home + vs CIN	3-2	60%from 49%	-4.3	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 60%	-4.3	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	-4.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-4.3	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	-4.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-4.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-4.3	0/5	n=5
vs CIN + at this venue	3-2	60%from 58%	-4.3	0/5	n=5
vs CIN + outdoors	7-5	58%from 58%	-1.4	0/12	n=12
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 58%	-2.3	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 67%	-4.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 58%	-4.3	0/5	n=5
vs CIN + in the Sunday early window	4-3	57%from 58%	-2.4	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	4-3	57%from 57%	-2.4	0/7	n=7
at home + in the last 5 seasons	24-19	56%from 49%	+1.7	0/43	n=43
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	24-19	56%from 50%	+1.7	0/43	n=43
as an underdog + at this venue	43-38	53%from 50%	+2.2	0/81	n=81
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 53%	+2.8	0/14	n=14
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	29-26	53%from 49%	+0.1	0/55	n=55
at home + as an underdog	44-40	52%from 49%	+1.9	0/84	n=84
+ spread 3.5-6.5	15-9	63%from 52%	+1.8	0/24	n=24
+ in the Sunday early window	14-5	74%from 63%	+3.5	0/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 63%	-3.5	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	15-8	65%from 63%	+2.6	0/23	n=23
+ outdoors	15-9	63%from 63%	+1.8	0/24	n=24
+ on grass	15-9	63%from 63%	+1.8	0/24	n=24
+ in October	4-4	50%from 63%	+1.7	0/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 52%	+2.8	0/14	n=14
+ in the Sunday early window	34-27	56%from 52%	+2.2	0/61	n=61
+ at this venue	33-26	56%from 56%	+2.4	0/59	n=59
+ outdoors	34-27	56%from 56%	+2.2	0/61	n=61
+ on grass	34-27	56%from 56%	+2.2	0/61	n=61
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 56%	+0.9	0/9	n=9
+ in October	9-8	53%from 56%	+3.1	0/17	n=17
+ at this venue	43-38	53%from 52%	+2.2	0/81	n=81
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 53%	+2.8	0/14	n=14
+ outdoors	44-40	52%from 52%	+1.9	0/84	n=84
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 52%	+2.8	0/14	n=14
+ at this venue	43-38	53%from 52%	+2.2	0/81	n=81
+ on grass	44-40	52%from 52%	+1.9	0/84	n=84
+ on grass	44-40	52%from 52%	+1.9	0/84	n=84
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 52%	+2.8	0/14	n=14
+ at this venue	43-38	53%from 52%	+2.2	0/81	n=81
+ in October	11-13	46%from 52%	+0.7	0/24	n=24
+ at this venue	10-11	48%from 46%	+1.7	0/21	n=21
+ outdoors	11-13	46%from 46%	+0.7	0/24	n=24
+ on grass	11-13	46%from 46%	+0.7	0/24	n=24

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.