BUF at LAR—

ST Model LAR -4.3

Since first recorded LAR -30.5 → LARo/u 53.5flat41d ago · 1 books · 1 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

BUF — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

on the road	108-101	52%	+0.1	77/209	n=209
vs LAR	5-2	71%	+6.4	3/7	n=7
on Monday night	9-10	47%	+3.7	13/19	n=19
in October	46-52	47%	-0.7	32/98	n=98
indoors	21-24	47%	-0.8	20/45	n=45
on turf	155-146	52%	+1.1	117/301	n=301
under this head coach	85-73	54%	+2.3	158/158	n=158
in the last 5 seasons	47-45	51%	+2.8	92/92	n=92

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BUF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423

BUF — combinations

16 lean BUF · 31 lean against

Read this first. 68 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs LAR + on turf	4-2	67%from 71%	+6.0	3/6	n=6
indoors + under this head coach	12-8	60%from 47%	+3.4	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-6	45%from 60%	+0.4	11/11	n=11
on the road + under this head coach	42-35	55%from 52%	+2.3	77/77	n=77
+ in the last 5 seasons	22-22	50%from 55%	+2.4	44/44	n=44
on turf + under this head coach	62-55	53%from 52%	+2.4	117/117	n=117
+ in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 53%	+2.6	70/70	n=70
on the road + on turf	46-41	53%from 52%	+1.4	36/87	n=87
+ under this head coach	19-17	53%from 53%	+2.6	36/36	n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 53%	+1.3	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-11	50%from 53%	+1.3	22/22	n=22
on the road + in October	27-25	52%from 52%	-1.4	17/52	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 52%	+3.3	9/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	9-8	53%from 52%	+0.3	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 53%	+3.3	9/9	n=9
+ on turf	12-12	50%from 52%	+0.3	10/24	n=24
+ under this head coach	4-6	40%from 50%	-1.7	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	-1.4	5/5	n=5
+ indoors	6-7	46%from 52%	-3.7	6/13	n=13
+ under this head coach	3-3	50%from 46%	-3.2	6/6	n=6
+ on turf	4-6	40%from 46%	-3.8	5/10	n=10
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	36-34	51%from 52%	+2.6	70/70	n=70
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	47-45	51%from 54%	+2.8	92/92	n=92
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	22-22	50%from 52%	+2.4	44/44	n=44
in October + in the last 5 seasons	9-9	50%from 47%	+4.2	18/18	n=18

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

LAR — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

at home	102-111	48%	-0.9	78/213	n=213
vs BUF	2-5	29%	-6.4	3/7	n=7
on Monday night	14-19	42%	-2.6	12/33	n=33
in October	53-49	52%	+0.3	36/102	n=102
indoors	119-121	50%	-0.3	79/240	n=240
on turf	131-145	47%	-0.9	89/276	n=276
at this venue	29-25	54%	+0.2	54/54	n=54
under this head coach	89-72	55%	+1.1	161/161	n=161
in the last 5 seasons	51-42	55%	+0.7	93/93	n=93

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAR — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -1.3 pts vs their number per game	n=434
LAR has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAR — combinations

61 lean LAR · 44 lean against

Read this first. 120 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 71% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on Monday night + in October	5-3	63%from 42%	+4.5	2/8	n=8
+ indoors	5-2	71%from 63%	+7.1	1/7	n=7
+ on turf	5-2	71%from 71%	+7.1	1/7	n=7
+ on turf	5-2	71%from 63%	+7.1	1/7	n=7
at home + at this venue	29-23	56%from 48%	+0.6	52/52	n=52
+ under this head coach	29-23	56%from 56%	+0.6	52/52	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-20	55%from 56%	+0.5	44/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-20	55%from 56%	+0.5	44/44	n=44
at home + in the last 5 seasons	25-20	56%from 48%	+1.0	45/45	n=45
on turf + under this head coach	49-40	55%from 47%	+1.1	89/89	n=89
+ in the last 5 seasons	36-30	55%from 55%	+0.7	66/66	n=66
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	51-42	55%from 55%	+0.7	93/93	n=93
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	36-30	55%from 47%	+0.7	66/66	n=66
indoors + under this head coach	43-36	54%from 50%	+0.3	79/79	n=79
+ in the last 5 seasons	31-29	52%from 54%	+0.3	60/60	n=60
at home + under this head coach	42-36	54%from 48%	+0.3	78/78	n=78
+ in the last 5 seasons	25-20	56%from 54%	+1.0	45/45	n=45
indoors + at this venue	29-25	54%from 50%	+0.2	54/54	n=54
+ under this head coach	29-25	54%from 54%	+0.2	54/54	n=54
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-22	52%from 54%	+0.2	46/46	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-22	52%from 54%	+0.2	46/46	n=46
on turf + at this venue	29-25	54%from 47%	+0.2	54/54	n=54
+ under this head coach	29-25	54%from 54%	+0.2	54/54	n=54
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-22	52%from 54%	+0.2	46/46	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	24-22	52%from 54%	+0.2	46/46	n=46

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.