BAL at ATL—

ST Model BAL -1.3

Since first recorded BAL -4.5o/u 48.5unchanged · 41d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 5

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

BAL — the basics

439 graded games since 1999

on the road	122-102	54%	+1.7	0/224	n=224
vs ATL	5-1	83%	+6.6	0/6	n=6
on Sunday night	20-21	49%	+0.3	0/41	n=41
in October	44-55	44%	+0.3	0/99	n=99
on turf	97-89	52%	+2.6	0/186	n=186
in the last 5 seasons	44-44	50%	+1.3	0/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=439

BAL — combinations

9 lean BAL · 5 lean against

Read this first. 22 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs ATL + on turf	4-1	80%from 83%	+7.6	0/5	n=5
on Sunday night + in October	4-1	80%from 49%	+7.3	0/5	n=5
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	15-5	75%from 52%	+3.9	0/20	n=20
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	24-19	56%from 54%	+2.0	0/43	n=43
in October + in the last 5 seasons	11-10	52%from 44%	+1.2	0/21	n=21
on the road + on Sunday night	12-11	52%from 54%	-0.1	0/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 52%	+1.2	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	4-5	44%from 52%	+2.4	0/9	n=9
on the road + on turf	42-39	52%from 54%	+1.3	0/81	n=81
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-5	74%from 52%	+3.8	0/19	n=19
on Sunday night + in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 49%	+2.0	0/12	n=12
in October + on turf	18-19	49%from 44%	+0.3	0/37	n=37
on the road + in October	25-30	45%from 54%	0.0	0/55	n=55
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 45%	+3.1	0/11	n=11
+ on turf	7-10	41%from 45%	-2.1	0/17	n=17
on Sunday night + on turf	8-11	42%from 49%	+0.5	0/19	n=19

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

ATL — the basics

426 graded games since 1999

at home	94-120	44%	-1.0	22/214	n=214
vs BAL	1-5	17%	-6.6	0/6	n=6
on Sunday night	8-9	47%	-0.5	4/17	n=17
in October	45-56	45%	-2.1	10/101	n=101
on turf	138-164	46%	-1.0	32/302	n=302
at this venue	28-44	39%	-1.9	22/72	n=72
under this head coach	21-24	47%	-0.9	45/45	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	34-49	41%	-2.8	34/83	n=83

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ATL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=426

ATL — combinations

5 lean ATL · 46 lean against

Read this first. 60 combinations shown. The best one here is 64%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 73% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + on Sunday night	7-4	64%from 44%	+2.8	1/11	n=11
+ on turf	7-4	64%from 64%	+2.8	1/11	n=11
in October + under this head coach	6-4	60%from 45%	-0.2	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 60%	-4.3	7/7	n=7
on Sunday night + on turf	8-6	57%from 47%	+0.9	2/14	n=14
in October + in the last 5 seasons	10-11	48%from 45%	-2.3	7/21	n=21
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	15-19	44%from 47%	-2.8	34/34	n=34
on turf + under this head coach	14-18	44%from 46%	+0.1	32/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-14	39%from 44%	-2.3	23/23	n=23
at home + on turf	93-120	44%from 44%	-1.1	22/213	n=213
+ under this head coach	9-13	41%from 44%	-1.1	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-11	35%from 41%	-3.8	17/17	n=17
+ at this venue	28-44	39%from 44%	-1.9	22/72	n=72
+ under this head coach	9-13	41%from 39%	-1.1	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-27	33%from 39%	-2.5	17/40	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-27	33%from 44%	-2.5	17/40	n=40
at home + under this head coach	9-13	41%from 44%	-1.1	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-11	35%from 41%	-3.8	17/17	n=17
at this venue + under this head coach	9-13	41%from 39%	-1.1	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-11	35%from 41%	-3.8	17/17	n=17
at home + at this venue	28-44	39%from 44%	-1.9	22/72	n=72
+ under this head coach	9-13	41%from 39%	-1.1	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-11	35%from 41%	-3.8	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-27	33%from 39%	-2.5	17/40	n=40
on turf + at this venue	28-44	39%from 46%	-1.9	22/72	n=72
+ under this head coach	9-13	41%from 39%	-1.1	22/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-11	35%from 41%	-3.8	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-27	33%from 39%	-2.5	17/40	n=40

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.