TEN at BALBAL -8.5o/u 47.5

ST Model BAL -10.6(+2.1 vs market)

Since first recorded BAL -8.5o/u 47.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 4

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

TEN — the basics

421 graded games since 1999

on the road	98-117	46%	-1.0	0/215	n=215
vs BAL	8-10	44%	+0.6	0/18	n=18
as an underdog	110-124	47%	-0.6	0/234	n=234
spread 7-9.5	25-33	43%	-2.1	0/58	n=58
in the Sunday early window	128-168	43%	-1.5	0/296	n=296
in October	47-52	47%	-1.6	0/99	n=99
outdoors	164-200	45%	-0.9	0/364	n=364
on grass	154-180	46%	-0.5	0/334	n=334
at this venue	5-3	63%	+3.6	0/8	n=8
in the last 5 seasons	35-47	43%	-1.8	0/82	n=82

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 421 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=421
TEN has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

TEN — combinations

63 lean TEN · 90 lean against

Read this first. 189 combinations shown. The best one here is 78%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on the road + vs BAL	5-3	63%from 46%	+3.6	0/8	n=8
+ outdoors	5-3	63%from 63%	+3.6	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	5-3	63%from 63%	+3.6	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 63%	+5.6	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	5-3	63%from 63%	+3.6	0/8	n=8
+ as an underdog	3-2	60%from 63%	+5.6	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 60%	+5.6	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+5.6	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 63%	+5.6	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	+5.6	0/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday early window	3-3	50%from 63%	+0.1	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	3-3	50%from 50%	+0.1	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 50%	+0.1	0/6	n=6
on the road + at this venue	5-3	63%from 46%	+3.6	0/8	n=8
vs BAL + at this venue	5-3	63%from 44%	+3.6	0/8	n=8
outdoors + at this venue	5-3	63%from 45%	+3.6	0/8	n=8
as an underdog + at this venue	3-2	60%from 47%	+5.6	0/5	n=5
on grass + at this venue	3-2	60%from 46%	+5.6	0/5	n=5
spread 7-9.5 + in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 43%	+0.2	0/9	n=9
in October + in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 47%	+1.7	0/20	n=20
in October + on grass	39-39	50%from 47%	-0.2	0/78	n=78
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 50%	+7.2	0/11	n=11
on the road + in October	26-26	50%from 46%	-1.5	0/52	n=52
+ on grass	18-14	56%from 50%	+1.9	0/32	n=32
+ outdoors	20-19	51%from 50%	-1.7	0/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 51%	+0.3	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	15-13	54%from 51%	+1.4	0/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 50%	-2.0	0/12	n=12

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

BAL — the basics

439 graded games since 1999

at home	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
vs TEN	10-8	56%	-0.6	0/18	n=18
as a favorite	148-139	52%	+2.5	0/287	n=287
spread 7-9.5	41-46	47%	+0.6	0/87	n=87
in the Sunday early window	137-120	53%	+2.7	0/257	n=257
in October	44-55	44%	+0.3	0/99	n=99
outdoors	213-196	52%	+2.3	0/409	n=409
on grass	134-119	53%	+1.9	0/253	n=253
at this venue	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
in the last 5 seasons	44-44	50%	+1.3	0/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=439

BAL — combinations

57 lean BAL · 193 lean against

Read this first. 286 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs TEN + in October	3-2	60%from 56%	+5.1	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 60%	+5.1	0/5	n=5
spread 7-9.5 + in October	10-7	59%from 47%	+1.2	0/17	n=17
+ outdoors	10-6	63%from 59%	+1.4	0/16	n=16
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 63%	+2.5	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	3-5	38%from 63%	-3.1	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	6-4	60%from 59%	+2.5	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	3-6	33%from 59%	-3.0	0/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 33%	-1.8	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 59%	-1.8	0/5	n=5
vs TEN + on grass	8-6	57%from 56%	-1.0	0/14	n=14
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 57%	-5.6	0/5	n=5
vs TEN + outdoors	10-8	56%from 56%	-0.6	0/18	n=18
+ on grass	8-6	57%from 56%	-1.0	0/14	n=14
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 57%	-5.6	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-5	38%from 56%	-3.6	0/8	n=8
as a favorite + in the Sunday early window	99-84	54%from 52%	+3.5	0/183	n=183
+ at this venue	66-54	55%from 54%	+4.7	0/120	n=120
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-13	41%from 55%	+2.8	0/22	n=22
+ outdoors	98-82	54%from 54%	+3.7	0/180	n=180
+ at this venue	66-54	55%from 54%	+4.7	0/120	n=120
+ on grass	52-52	50%from 54%	+2.8	0/104	n=104
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-19	46%from 54%	+2.4	0/35	n=35
+ on grass	52-53	50%from 54%	+2.6	0/105	n=105
+ at this venue	31-31	50%from 50%	+3.4	0/62	n=62
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-18	33%from 50%	+1.6	0/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-20	46%from 54%	+2.3	0/37	n=37
+ in October	19-28	40%from 54%	-0.2	0/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 40%	+2.0	0/12	n=12
+ at this venue	14-15	48%from 40%	+1.5	0/29	n=29
+ outdoors	19-28	40%from 40%	-0.2	0/47	n=47
+ on grass	9-19	32%from 40%	-0.9	0/28	n=28

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.