PIT at CLEPIT -2.5o/u 40.5

ST Model PIT -3.8(-1.3 vs market)

Since first recorded PIT -30.5 → CLEo/u 41.5-150d ago · 1 books · 1 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 4

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

PIT — the basics

440 graded games since 1999

on the road	115-102	53%	+0.5	0/217	n=217
vs CLE	28-24	54%	+3.2	0/52	n=52
as a favorite	142-147	49%	+0.4	0/289	n=289
spread 1-2.5	49-34	59%	+1.1	0/83	n=83
in a division game	99-68	59%	+2.1	0/167	n=167
on a short week	9-11	45%	-0.8	0/20	n=20
on Thursday night	11-11	50%	+0.3	0/22	n=22
in October	63-35	64%	+3.8	0/98	n=98
outdoors	218-188	54%	+1.0	0/406	n=406
on grass	150-130	54%	+1.3	0/280	n=280
at this venue	10-14	42%	+1.9	0/24	n=24
in the last 5 seasons	48-39	55%	-0.3	0/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PIT — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 440 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=440

PIT — combinations

127 lean PIT · 205 lean against

Read this first. 360 combinations shown. The best one here is 92%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 89% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + in October	25-6	81%from 59%	+6.7	0/31	n=31
+ on grass	16-2	89%from 81%	+8.8	0/18	n=18
+ outdoors	25-6	81%from 81%	+6.7	0/31	n=31
+ on grass	16-2	89%from 81%	+8.8	0/18	n=18
vs CLE + in October	7-3	70%from 54%	+3.0	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 70%	+6.5	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	7-3	70%from 70%	+3.0	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 70%	+6.5	0/6	n=6
spread 1-2.5 + in the last 5 seasons	16-8	67%from 59%	+1.0	0/24	n=24
in October + on grass	45-23	66%from 64%	+4.7	0/68	n=68
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 66%	+3.3	0/16	n=16
in October + outdoors	59-32	65%from 64%	+3.9	0/91	n=91
+ on grass	43-23	65%from 65%	+4.5	0/66	n=66
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-7	53%from 65%	+2.5	0/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-10	44%from 65%	-1.0	0/18	n=18
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	20-11	65%from 59%	+2.4	0/31	n=31
on the road + in October	29-18	62%from 53%	+2.4	0/47	n=47
+ outdoors	25-15	63%from 62%	+2.4	0/40	n=40
+ on grass	18-12	60%from 63%	+2.5	0/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 63%	-8.3	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	20-12	63%from 62%	+3.0	0/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 63%	+2.6	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 62%	-3.6	0/9	n=9
spread 1-2.5 + on grass	33-21	61%from 59%	+1.6	0/54	n=54
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-5	69%from 61%	+2.4	0/16	n=16
+ at this venue	1-4	20%from 61%	-2.6	0/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

CLE — the basics

415 graded games since 1999

at home	95-109	47%	-1.6	0/204	n=204
vs PIT	24-28	46%	-3.2	0/52	n=52
as an underdog	135-159	46%	-1.4	0/294	n=294
spread 1-2.5	41-54	43%	-2.5	0/95	n=95
in a division game	73-89	45%	-2.0	0/162	n=162
on a short week	11-5	69%	+3.7	0/16	n=16
on Thursday night	11-5	69%	+3.7	0/16	n=16
in October	45-57	44%	-1.3	0/102	n=102
outdoors	171-211	45%	-2.0	0/382	n=382
on grass	148-172	46%	-1.9	0/320	n=320
at this venue	95-108	47%	-1.6	0/203	n=203
in the last 5 seasons	36-48	43%	-2.2	0/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CLE — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 415 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=415
CLE has covered 3 straight	n=3

CLE — combinations

225 lean CLE · 161 lean against

Read this first. 430 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 7.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs PIT + on a short week	5-1	83%from 46%	+5.7	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 83%	+9.4	0/5	n=5
+ on Thursday night	5-1	83%from 83%	+5.7	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 83%	+9.4	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	5-1	83%from 83%	+5.7	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	5-1	83%from 83%	+5.7	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 83%	+9.4	0/5	n=5
vs PIT + on Thursday night	5-1	83%from 46%	+5.7	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 83%	+9.4	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	5-1	83%from 83%	+5.7	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 83%	+9.4	0/5	n=5
at home + on a short week	8-2	80%from 47%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ on Thursday night	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ outdoors	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ outdoors	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
at home + on Thursday night	8-2	80%from 47%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ outdoors	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	8-2	80%from 80%	+5.8	0/10	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.