NYJ at CHICHI -8.5o/u 45.5

ST Model CHI -9.1(+0.6 vs market)

Since first recorded CHI -8.5o/u 45.5unchanged · 49d ago · 1 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 4

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

NYJ — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-116	45%	-1.4	8/211	n=211
vs CHI	1-5	17%	-3.8	0/6	n=6
as an underdog	121-139	47%	-0.3	15/260	n=260
spread 7-9.5	35-40	47%	-0.8	1/75	n=75
in the Sunday early window	119-122	49%	+0.4	14/241	n=241
in October	49-52	49%	-1.4	4/101	n=101
outdoors	179-208	46%	-1.0	16/387	n=387
on grass	68-76	47%	-0.8	5/144	n=144
under this head coach	7-10	41%	-5.7	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	33-51	39%	-2.8	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NYJ — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -6.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=419
NYJ has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

NYJ — combinations

43 lean NYJ · 123 lean against

Read this first. 187 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on grass + under this head coach	3-2	60%from 47%	-1.4	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.4	5/5	n=5
in October + in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 49%	+1.4	4/21	n=21
in the Sunday early window + on grass	37-35	51%from 49%	+0.6	4/72	n=72
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 51%	+0.8	4/16	n=16
in the Sunday early window + in October	28-27	51%from 49%	-1.1	4/55	n=55
+ outdoors	28-27	51%from 51%	-1.1	4/55	n=55
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-7	50%from 51%	+1.0	4/14	n=14
+ on grass	7-10	41%from 51%	-1.5	1/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-7	50%from 51%	+1.0	4/14	n=14
+ on grass	7-10	41%from 51%	-1.5	1/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 41%	+5.9	1/5	n=5
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	7-7	50%from 49%	-5.6	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-7	50%from 50%	-5.6	14/14	n=14
as an underdog + in the Sunday early window	71-72	50%from 47%	+0.7	12/143	n=143
+ under this head coach	7-5	58%from 50%	-4.4	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 58%	-4.4	12/12	n=12
+ in October	17-16	52%from 50%	-0.2	2/33	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 52%	+4.5	2/11	n=11
+ outdoors	17-16	52%from 52%	-0.2	2/33	n=33
+ on grass	3-7	30%from 52%	-1.5	1/10	n=10
+ outdoors	66-70	49%from 50%	+0.4	11/136	n=136
+ under this head coach	7-4	64%from 49%	-3.3	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-23	47%from 49%	-1.2	11/43	n=43
+ on grass	20-25	44%from 49%	+0.9	4/45	n=45
+ on grass	21-25	46%from 50%	+1.3	4/46	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 46%	+0.5	4/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-25	46%from 50%	-1.3	12/46	n=46

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

CHI — the basics

414 graded games since 1999

at home	105-106	50%	+0.7	9/211	n=211
vs NYJ	5-1	83%	+3.8	0/6	n=6
as a favorite	78-81	49%	+0.8	6/159	n=159
spread 7-9.5	38-36	51%	+1.6	2/74	n=74
in the Sunday early window	119-125	49%	+0.8	7/244	n=244
in October	47-50	48%	+2.1	3/97	n=97
outdoors	163-175	48%	+0.3	15/338	n=338
on grass	146-154	49%	+0.4	15/300	n=300
at this venue	101-100	50%	+0.7	9/201	n=201
under this head coach	11-7	61%	+2.4	18/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	39-39	50%	+0.0	18/78	n=78

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CHI — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +4.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 414 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=414
CHI has covered 2 straight	n=2

CHI — combinations

162 lean CHI · 78 lean against

Read this first. 286 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs NYJ + outdoors	5-1	83%from 83%	+3.8	0/6	n=6
vs NYJ + in the Sunday early window	4-1	80%from 83%	+2.7	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+2.7	0/5	n=5
as a favorite + in the last 5 seasons	12-5	71%from 49%	+3.6	6/17	n=17
at home + under this head coach	6-3	67%from 50%	+5.5	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 67%	+5.5	9/9	n=9
at this venue + under this head coach	6-3	67%from 50%	+5.5	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 67%	+5.5	9/9	n=9
as a favorite + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 49%	+4.6	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+4.6	6/6	n=6
as a favorite + spread 7-9.5	13-8	62%from 49%	+5.2	1/21	n=21
+ in the Sunday early window	12-7	63%from 62%	+5.5	1/19	n=19
+ at this venue	10-6	63%from 63%	+5.3	1/16	n=16
+ outdoors	11-7	61%from 63%	+4.9	1/18	n=18
+ on grass	11-7	61%from 63%	+4.9	1/18	n=18
+ in October	3-3	50%from 63%	+4.2	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	12-8	60%from 62%	+4.6	1/20	n=20
+ at this venue	10-7	59%from 60%	+4.7	1/17	n=17
+ at this venue	10-7	59%from 62%	+4.7	1/17	n=17
+ outdoors	11-8	58%from 62%	+4.5	1/19	n=19
+ at this venue	10-7	59%from 58%	+4.7	1/17	n=17
+ on grass	11-8	58%from 58%	+4.5	1/19	n=19
+ in October	3-4	43%from 62%	+3.1	0/7	n=7
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 43%	+5.3	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	3-4	43%from 43%	+3.1	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	3-4	43%from 43%	+3.1	0/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.