GB at TBGB -1.5o/u 47.5
ST Model TB -0.4(+1.9 vs market)
Since first recorded GB -1.5o/u 47.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books
Trends · player props · 2026 week 4
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
GB — the basics
442 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 116-106 | 52% | +0.4 | 63/222 | n=222 |
| vs TB | 7-9 | 44% | -4.7 | 4/16 | n=16 |
| as a favorite | 160-135 | 54% | +0.9 | 85/295 | n=295 |
| spread 1-2.5 | 39-44 | 47% | -0.6 | 27/83 | n=83 |
| off a bye | 34-23 | 60% | +2.2 | 20/57 | n=57 |
| in the Sunday early window | 101-88 | 53% | +1.1 | 44/189 | n=189 |
| in October | 50-42 | 54% | +2.1 | 27/92 | n=92 |
| outdoors | 199-160 | 55% | +1.2 | 103/359 | n=359 |
| on grass | 187-146 | 56% | +1.5 | 95/333 | n=333 |
| at this venue | 4-5 | 44% | -5.2 | 2/9 | n=9 |
| under this head coach | 67-58 | 54% | +0.9 | 125/125 | n=125 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 45-44 | 51% | +0.7 | 89/89 | n=89 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
GB — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -3.8 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 442 graded games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game | n=442 |
| GB has failed to cover 5 straight | n=5 |
GB — combinations
117 lean GB · 182 lean against
Read this first. 341 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 90% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| as a favorite + off a bye | 23-15 | 61%from 54% | +2.0 | 13/38 | n=38 |
| + on grass | 20-13 | 61%from 61% | +1.4 | 12/33 | n=33 |
| + under this head coach | 6-6 | 50%from 61% | -4.4 | 12/12 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 3-4 | 43%from 61% | -3.1 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| + in October | 3-2 | 60%from 61% | -3.9 | 2/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | -3.9 | 2/5 | n=5 |
| + on grass | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | -3.9 | 2/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 20-15 | 57%from 61% | +1.4 | 13/35 | n=35 |
| + on grass | 19-13 | 59%from 57% | +1.3 | 12/32 | n=32 |
| + under this head coach | 7-6 | 54%from 57% | -3.0 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-4 | 50%from 57% | -1.0 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| + under this head coach | 7-6 | 54%from 61% | -3.0 | 13/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-4 | 50%from 54% | -1.0 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| + in the Sunday early window | 8-7 | 53%from 61% | +2.3 | 4/15 | n=15 |
| + outdoors | 6-7 | 46%from 53% | +0.6 | 4/13 | n=13 |
| + on grass | 6-7 | 46%from 53% | +0.6 | 4/13 | n=13 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-4 | 50%from 61% | -1.0 | 8/8 | n=8 |
| off a bye + in October | 9-6 | 60%from 60% | +1.7 | 5/15 | n=15 |
| + outdoors | 6-4 | 60%from 60% | +0.7 | 3/10 | n=10 |
| + on grass | 6-4 | 60%from 60% | +0.7 | 3/10 | n=10 |
| + on grass | 6-5 | 55%from 60% | +0.4 | 4/11 | n=11 |
| + under this head coach | 1-4 | 20%from 60% | -5.2 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| off a bye + on grass | 27-19 | 59%from 60% | +1.5 | 18/46 | n=46 |
| + under this head coach | 8-10 | 44%from 59% | -3.8 | 18/18 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-7 | 42%from 44% | -1.0 | 12/12 | n=12 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-7 | 42%from 59% | -1.0 | 12/12 | n=12 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.