DAL at HOUHOU -2.5o/u 47.5
ST Model HOU -7.1(+4.6 vs market)
Since first recorded HOU -2.5o/u 47.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books
Trends · player props · 2026 week 4
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
DAL — the basics
424 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 104-107 | 49% | -0.2 | 9/211 | n=211 |
| vs HOU | 3-4 | 43% | -2.6 | 0/7 | n=7 |
| as an underdog | 95-82 | 54% | -0.1 | 7/177 | n=177 |
| spread 1-2.5 | 31-48 | 39% | -2.3 | 4/79 | n=79 |
| in the Sunday early window | 70-63 | 53% | -0.0 | 5/133 | n=133 |
| in October | 50-49 | 51% | +0.8 | 4/99 | n=99 |
| on turf | 142-152 | 48% | -0.4 | 11/294 | n=294 |
| under this head coach | 7-10 | 41% | -2.7 | 17/17 | n=17 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 47-41 | 53% | +1.3 | 17/88 | n=88 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
DAL — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -3.1 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 424 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game | n=424 |
| DAL has failed to cover 5 straight | n=5 |
DAL — combinations
45 lean DAL · 33 lean against
Read this first. 91 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 81% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| as an underdog + under this head coach | 5-2 | 71%from 54% | +1.9 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-2 | 71%from 71% | +1.9 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| in October + in the last 5 seasons | 14-6 | 70%from 51% | +4.1 | 4/20 | n=20 |
| as an underdog + in the Sunday early window | 28-18 | 61%from 54% | +0.5 | 1/46 | n=46 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-2 | 67%from 61% | +4.5 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| + in October | 5-3 | 63%from 61% | +4.1 | 1/8 | n=8 |
| + on turf | 16-12 | 57%from 61% | -0.9 | 1/28 | n=28 |
| on turf + in the last 5 seasons | 35-25 | 58%from 48% | +2.5 | 11/60 | n=60 |
| in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons | 13-10 | 57%from 53% | +0.1 | 5/23 | n=23 |
| spread 1-2.5 + in the last 5 seasons | 9-7 | 56%from 39% | +3.8 | 4/16 | n=16 |
| as an underdog + on turf | 60-48 | 56%from 54% | +0.5 | 5/108 | n=108 |
| + under this head coach | 4-1 | 80%from 56% | +5.1 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 80% | +5.1 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 11-9 | 55%from 56% | -1.3 | 5/20 | n=20 |
| in the Sunday early window + in October | 20-16 | 56%from 53% | +2.1 | 2/36 | n=36 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-1 | 86%from 56% | +9.0 | 2/7 | n=7 |
| + on turf | 16-11 | 59%from 56% | +2.5 | 1/27 | n=27 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-0 | 100%from 59% | +11.5 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| on the road + in the Sunday early window | 37-30 | 55%from 49% | +0.2 | 3/67 | n=67 |
| + in October | 8-6 | 57%from 55% | +2.0 | 2/14 | n=14 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 57% | +3.7 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 6-5 | 55%from 55% | +0.4 | 3/11 | n=11 |
| + on turf | 13-16 | 45%from 55% | -3.5 | 2/29 | n=29 |
| as an underdog + in October | 20-17 | 54%from 54% | +1.9 | 2/37 | n=37 |
| + on turf | 13-8 | 62%from 54% | +4.0 | 1/21 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-5 | 44%from 54% | -3.8 | 2/9 | n=9 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.