ATL at NONO -2.5o/u 45.5

ST Model ATL -2.3(-4.8 vs market)

Since first recorded NO -2.5o/u 45.5unchanged · 50d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 4

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

ATL — the basics

426 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-106	50%	-0.2	23/212	n=212
vs NO	22-30	42%	-1.1	6/52	n=52
as an underdog	103-110	48%	-0.7	25/213	n=213
spread 1-2.5	45-56	45%	-0.1	14/101	n=101
in a division game	74-83	47%	-0.8	17/157	n=157
off a bye	26-23	53%	+1.1	6/49	n=49
on Monday night	13-11	54%	-1.7	4/24	n=24
in October	45-56	45%	-2.1	10/101	n=101
indoors	115-144	44%	-1.0	32/259	n=259
on turf	138-164	46%	-1.0	32/302	n=302
at this venue	12-13	48%	+0.0	3/25	n=25
under this head coach	21-24	47%	-0.9	45/45	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	34-49	41%	-2.8	34/83	n=83

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ATL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=426

ATL — combinations

165 lean ATL · 219 lean against

Read this first. 447 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 90% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
off a bye + in the last 5 seasons	7-1	88%from 53%	+5.8	4/8	n=8
as an underdog + on Monday night	10-5	67%from 48%	-0.8	3/15	n=15
+ on turf	7-4	64%from 67%	-2.0	2/11	n=11
+ indoors	6-4	60%from 67%	-2.6	2/10	n=10
+ on turf	6-4	60%from 60%	-2.6	2/10	n=10
off a bye + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 53%	+3.0	6/6	n=6
in a division game + in October	17-9	65%from 47%	+2.6	4/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 65%	+2.8	3/7	n=7
+ indoors	10-8	56%from 65%	+1.1	1/18	n=18
+ on turf	10-8	56%from 56%	+1.1	1/18	n=18
+ on turf	11-9	55%from 65%	+0.6	1/20	n=20
in October + under this head coach	6-4	60%from 45%	-0.2	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 60%	-4.3	7/7	n=7
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 48%	-1.5	2/5	n=5
as an underdog + at this venue	12-9	57%from 48%	+2.4	2/21	n=21
spread 1-2.5 + off a bye	8-6	57%from 45%	+2.5	2/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 57%	+3.7	2/5	n=5
+ indoors	2-4	33%from 57%	-5.4	2/6	n=6
+ on turf	1-4	20%from 33%	-7.4	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	1-5	17%from 57%	-8.3	1/6	n=6
on the road + off a bye	14-11	56%from 50%	+2.8	3/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-0	100%from 56%	+4.9	2/5	n=5
+ in October	4-2	67%from 56%	+9.5	1/6	n=6
+ indoors	5-4	56%from 56%	+1.2	2/9	n=9
+ on turf	4-4	50%from 56%	+0.8	1/8	n=8
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 56%	-1.3	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	5-5	50%from 56%	+0.5	1/10	n=10
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 50%	-1.3	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 56%	-1.3	1/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

NO — the basics

435 graded games since 1999

at home	102-117	47%	-0.3	8/219	n=219
vs ATL	30-22	58%	+1.1	2/52	n=52
as a favorite	128-125	51%	+0.7	4/253	n=253
spread 1-2.5	51-47	52%	+0.3	4/98	n=98
in a division game	88-74	54%	+1.4	6/162	n=162
on Monday night	13-21	38%	-0.1	0/34	n=34
in October	60-42	59%	+1.6	4/102	n=102
indoors	128-144	47%	-0.5	10/272	n=272
on turf	147-154	49%	+0.3	12/301	n=301
at this venue	97-111	47%	-0.3	8/208	n=208
under this head coach	9-8	53%	-0.2	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	38-46	45%	+0.7	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NO — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 435 graded games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=435
NO has covered 6 straight	n=6

NO — combinations

101 lean NO · 266 lean against

Read this first. 414 combinations shown. The best one here is 75%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 1-2.5 + in October	20-7	74%from 52%	+5.3	1/27	n=27
+ indoors	12-4	75%from 74%	+3.7	1/16	n=16
+ on turf	12-4	75%from 75%	+3.7	1/16	n=16
+ at this venue	7-3	70%from 75%	+3.8	1/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 75%	+0.9	1/6	n=6
+ on turf	13-5	72%from 74%	+5.3	1/18	n=18
+ at this venue	7-3	70%from 72%	+3.8	1/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 72%	+6.0	1/7	n=7
+ at this venue	7-3	70%from 74%	+3.8	1/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 74%	+5.0	1/9	n=9
in a division game + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 54%	+0.7	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+0.7	6/6	n=6
as a favorite + spread 1-2.5	27-17	61%from 51%	+2.2	3/44	n=44
+ in October	11-4	73%from 61%	+4.1	1/15	n=15
+ indoors	7-3	70%from 73%	+3.0	1/10	n=10
+ on turf	7-3	70%from 73%	+3.0	1/10	n=10
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 73%	+3.6	1/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 73%	+1.9	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	17-13	57%from 61%	+1.8	2/30	n=30
+ at this venue	9-11	45%from 57%	-0.1	2/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 57%	-3.3	2/8	n=8
+ indoors	13-13	50%from 61%	-0.1	2/26	n=26
+ on turf	13-13	50%from 50%	-0.1	2/26	n=26
+ at this venue	9-11	45%from 50%	-0.1	2/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 50%	-3.3	2/8	n=8
+ on Monday night	3-3	50%from 61%	+3.0	0/6	n=6
+ indoors	3-3	50%from 50%	+3.0	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	3-3	50%from 50%	+3.0	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 50%	+3.0	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	9-11	45%from 61%	-0.1	2/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 45%	-3.1	2/5	n=5
+ in a division game	4-5	44%from 61%	-5.3	1/9	n=9
+ indoors	2-4	33%from 44%	-8.6	1/6	n=6
+ on turf	2-4	33%from 44%	-8.6	1/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-7	42%from 61%	-2.0	3/12	n=12

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.