ARI at NYGNYG -7o/u 45.5
ST Model NYG -1.2(-5.8 vs market)
Since first recorded NYG -7o/u 45.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books
Trends · player props · 2026 week 4
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
ARI — the basics
424 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 105-105 | 50% | -1.4 | 26/210 | n=210 |
| vs NYG | 10-5 | 67% | +3.2 | 1/15 | n=15 |
| as an underdog | 146-135 | 52% | -0.6 | 41/281 | n=281 |
| spread 7-9.5 | 40-43 | 48% | -1.7 | 12/83 | n=83 |
| in the Sunday early window | 58-59 | 50% | -2.2 | 15/117 | n=117 |
| in October | 51-51 | 50% | -0.3 | 12/102 | n=102 |
| outdoors | 108-112 | 49% | -1.4 | 19/220 | n=220 |
| on turf | 53-58 | 48% | -1.9 | 16/111 | n=111 |
| at this venue | 5-0 | 100% | +11.1 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| under this head coach | 26-25 | 51% | -0.6 | 51/51 | n=51 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 44-42 | 51% | -0.8 | 51/86 | n=86 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
ARI — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: -4.4 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 424 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game | n=424 |
| ARI has failed to cover 5 straight | n=5 |
ARI — combinations
106 lean ARI · 108 lean against
Read this first. 245 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 15.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + at this venue | 5-0 | 100%from 50% | +11.1 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| in the Sunday early window + at this venue | 5-0 | 100%from 50% | +11.1 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| outdoors + at this venue | 5-0 | 100%from 49% | +11.1 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| on turf + at this venue | 5-0 | 100%from 48% | +11.1 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| on the road + vs NYG | 6-1 | 86%from 50% | +4.9 | 0/7 | n=7 |
| + outdoors | 6-1 | 86%from 86% | +4.9 | 0/7 | n=7 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 86% | +6.4 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + as an underdog | 5-1 | 83%from 86% | +3.1 | 0/6 | n=6 |
| + outdoors | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +3.1 | 0/6 | n=6 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 86% | +6.4 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| vs NYG + on turf | 5-1 | 83%from 67% | +5.7 | 1/6 | n=6 |
| vs NYG + outdoors | 8-3 | 73%from 67% | +3.1 | 0/11 | n=11 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 73% | +6.4 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons | 14-7 | 67%from 50% | -0.3 | 15/21 | n=21 |
| in the Sunday early window + under this head coach | 10-5 | 67%from 50% | -0.8 | 15/15 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 10-5 | 67%from 67% | -0.8 | 15/15 | n=15 |
| on the road + in the last 5 seasons | 26-18 | 59%from 50% | +1.0 | 26/44 | n=44 |
| in October + in the last 5 seasons | 13-9 | 59%from 50% | +1.0 | 12/22 | n=22 |
| vs NYG + as an underdog | 7-5 | 58%from 67% | +0.8 | 1/12 | n=12 |
| + on turf | 4-1 | 80%from 58% | +3.6 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 6-3 | 67%from 58% | +1.8 | 0/9 | n=9 |
| as an underdog + in the last 5 seasons | 35-27 | 56%from 52% | +1.2 | 41/62 | n=62 |
| on turf + under this head coach | 9-7 | 56%from 48% | -2.2 | 16/16 | n=16 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-7 | 56%from 56% | -2.2 | 16/16 | n=16 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 14-12 | 54%from 50% | -1.4 | 26/26 | n=26 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-12 | 54%from 54% | -1.4 | 26/26 | n=26 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.