NYJ at DETDET -9.5o/u 45.5

ST Model DET -12.6(+3.1 vs market)

Since first recorded DET -9.5o/u 45.5unchanged · 49d ago · 1 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 3

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

NYJ — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-116	45%	-1.4	8/211	n=211
vs DET	3-4	43%	+4.1	0/7	n=7
as an underdog	121-139	47%	-0.3	15/260	n=260
spread 7-9.5	35-40	47%	-0.8	1/75	n=75
in the Sunday early window	119-122	49%	+0.4	14/241	n=241
in September	36-48	43%	-1.8	4/84	n=84
indoors	16-16	50%	+1.7	1/32	n=32
on turf	127-148	46%	-0.8	12/275	n=275
under this head coach	7-10	41%	-5.7	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	33-51	39%	-2.8	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NYJ — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -6.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=419
NYJ has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

NYJ — combinations

20 lean NYJ · 88 lean against

Read this first. 128 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
as an underdog + indoors	14-11	56%from 47%	+3.5	1/25	n=25
+ on turf	13-10	57%from 56%	+3.7	1/23	n=23
indoors + on turf	15-13	54%from 50%	+2.9	1/28	n=28
spread 7-9.5 + on turf	26-24	52%from 47%	+0.6	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-6	25%from 52%	-9.3	0/8	n=8
on the road + indoors	16-16	50%from 45%	+1.7	1/32	n=32
+ on turf	15-13	54%from 50%	+2.9	1/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-5	17%from 50%	-7.5	1/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	7-7	50%from 49%	-5.6	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-7	50%from 50%	-5.6	14/14	n=14
in the Sunday early window + indoors	5-5	50%from 49%	+3.1	1/10	n=10
+ on turf	4-5	44%from 50%	+1.1	1/9	n=9
vs DET + on turf	3-3	50%from 43%	+6.4	0/6	n=6
as an underdog + in the Sunday early window	71-72	50%from 47%	+0.7	12/143	n=143
+ indoors	5-2	71%from 50%	+7.4	1/7	n=7
+ on turf	4-2	67%from 71%	+5.0	1/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	7-5	58%from 50%	-4.4	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 58%	-4.4	12/12	n=12
+ on turf	50-47	52%from 50%	+0.5	8/97	n=97
+ under this head coach	4-4	50%from 52%	-6.2	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-19	41%from 52%	-2.0	8/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	21-25	46%from 50%	-1.3	12/46	n=46
+ in September	10-18	36%from 50%	-4.1	3/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-6	33%from 36%	-3.9	3/9	n=9
+ on turf	5-11	31%from 36%	-4.4	2/16	n=16

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

DET — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	107-102	51%	-0.2	43/209	n=209
vs NYJ	4-3	57%	-4.1	1/7	n=7
as a favorite	76-78	49%	+0.4	48/154	n=154
spread 7-9.5	37-40	48%	-1.5	21/77	n=77
off a bye	31-27	53%	-0.5	14/58	n=58
in the Sunday early window	148-139	52%	-0.8	45/287	n=287
in September	48-38	56%	-0.2	18/86	n=86
indoors	137-134	51%	-0.4	58/271	n=271
on turf	153-143	52%	-0.3	64/296	n=296
at this venue	99-94	51%	+0.1	43/193	n=193
under this head coach	56-31	64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87
in the last 5 seasons	56-31	64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DET — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=419

DET — combinations

315 lean DET · 126 lean against

Read this first. 483 combinations shown. The best one here is 85%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs NYJ + in the Sunday early window	4-1	80%from 57%	+4.6	1/5	n=5
in September + under this head coach	14-4	78%from 56%	+4.2	18/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-4	78%from 78%	+4.2	18/18	n=18
in September + in the last 5 seasons	14-4	78%from 56%	+4.2	18/18	n=18
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	31-14	69%from 52%	+3.4	45/45	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	31-14	69%from 69%	+3.4	45/45	n=45
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	31-14	69%from 52%	+3.4	45/45	n=45
in September + at this venue	27-14	66%from 56%	+3.0	11/41	n=41
+ under this head coach	9-2	82%from 66%	+5.3	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 82%	+5.3	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 66%	+5.3	11/11	n=11
on turf + under this head coach	42-22	66%from 52%	+3.1	64/64	n=64
+ in the last 5 seasons	42-22	66%from 66%	+3.1	64/64	n=64
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	42-22	66%from 52%	+3.1	64/64	n=64
indoors + under this head coach	38-20	66%from 51%	+3.6	58/58	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	38-20	66%from 66%	+3.6	58/58	n=58
indoors + in the last 5 seasons	38-20	66%from 51%	+3.6	58/58	n=58
at home + in September	28-15	65%from 51%	+2.7	11/43	n=43
+ under this head coach	9-2	82%from 65%	+5.3	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 82%	+5.3	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 65%	+5.3	11/11	n=11
+ at this venue	27-14	66%from 65%	+3.0	11/41	n=41
+ under this head coach	9-2	82%from 66%	+5.3	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 66%	+5.3	11/11	n=11
+ indoors	28-15	65%from 65%	+2.7	11/43	n=43
+ under this head coach	9-2	82%from 65%	+5.3	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 65%	+5.3	11/11	n=11
+ at this venue	27-14	66%from 65%	+3.0	11/41	n=41
+ on turf	28-15	65%from 65%	+2.7	11/43	n=43
+ on turf	28-15	65%from 65%	+2.7	11/43	n=43
+ under this head coach	9-2	82%from 65%	+5.3	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 65%	+5.3	11/11	n=11
+ at this venue	27-14	66%from 65%	+3.0	11/41	n=41

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.