MIN at TBTB -1.5o/u 44.5

ST Model TB -1.4(-0.1 vs market)

Since first recorded TB -1.5o/u 44.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 3

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

MIN — the basics

424 graded games since 1999

on the road	104-108	49%	-1.3	30/212	n=212
vs TB	4-9	31%	-6.0	1/13	n=13
as an underdog	103-94	52%	+0.2	26/197	n=197
spread 1-2.5	55-51	52%	-0.5	24/106	n=106
in the Sunday late window	28-29	49%	0.0	8/57	n=57
in September	46-39	54%	+1.0	13/85	n=85
outdoors	86-89	49%	-1.8	23/175	n=175
on grass	62-64	49%	-2.2	17/126	n=126
at this venue	1-5	17%	-9.2	0/6	n=6
under this head coach	34-31	52%	+0.3	65/65	n=65
in the last 5 seasons	43-39	52%	+0.2	65/82	n=82

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

MIN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.9 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 424 graded games: -0.1 pts vs their number per game	n=424
MIN has covered 5 straight	n=5

MIN — combinations

95 lean MIN · 90 lean against

Read this first. 211 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 1.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday late window + in September	7-2	78%from 49%	+5.8	1/9	n=9
outdoors + under this head coach	16-7	70%from 49%	+0.8	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-7	70%from 70%	+0.8	23/23	n=23
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	19-10	66%from 49%	+0.1	23/29	n=29
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	15-8	65%from 49%	-1.4	17/23	n=23
on grass + under this head coach	11-6	65%from 49%	-1.4	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-6	65%from 65%	-1.4	17/17	n=17
as an underdog + in September	22-15	59%from 52%	+2.0	4/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 59%	+7.9	4/6	n=6
+ on grass	10-6	63%from 59%	+1.4	2/16	n=16
+ outdoors	11-9	55%from 59%	-1.4	2/20	n=20
+ on grass	9-6	60%from 55%	+1.3	2/15	n=15
spread 1-2.5 + in the Sunday late window	7-5	58%from 52%	-1.2	5/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 58%	-2.2	5/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 58%	-5.6	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 60%	-5.6	5/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-3	50%from 58%	-0.4	1/6	n=6
spread 1-2.5 + in the last 5 seasons	16-12	57%from 52%	+0.4	24/28	n=28
in the Sunday late window + on grass	12-9	57%from 49%	+1.8	1/21	n=21
on the road + under this head coach	17-13	57%from 49%	-1.6	30/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-13	57%from 57%	-1.6	30/30	n=30
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	22-17	56%from 49%	-1.6	30/39	n=39
in September + in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 54%	+4.6	13/16	n=16
as an underdog + in the Sunday late window	19-16	54%from 52%	+0.6	5/35	n=35
+ in September	5-0	100%from 54%	+9.6	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	10-2	83%from 54%	+6.6	1/12	n=12
+ outdoors	11-10	52%from 54%	+1.7	2/21	n=21
+ on grass	9-2	82%from 52%	+7.0	1/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 54%	-5.2	5/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	1-4	20%from 54%	-14.1	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 20%	-14.1	5/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

TB — the basics

425 graded games since 1999

at home	94-118	44%	-0.6	36/212	n=212
vs MIN	9-4	69%	+6.0	1/13	n=13
as a favorite	92-117	44%	-0.2	40/209	n=209
spread 1-2.5	43-44	49%	+0.3	21/87	n=87
in the Sunday late window	44-50	47%	+0.1	14/94	n=94
in September	45-42	52%	+0.6	14/87	n=87
outdoors	151-184	45%	-0.5	52/335	n=335
on grass	140-168	45%	-0.5	46/308	n=308
at this venue	92-115	44%	-0.6	35/207	n=207
under this head coach	31-40	44%	+0.0	71/71	n=71
in the last 5 seasons	41-49	46%	+0.1	71/90	n=90

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TB — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 425 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=425
TB has failed to cover 9 straight	n=9

TB — combinations

65 lean TB · 276 lean against

Read this first. 369 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + vs MIN	5-1	83%from 44%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ as a favorite	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
vs MIN + outdoors	5-1	83%from 69%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
vs MIN + on grass	5-1	83%from 69%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
vs MIN + at this venue	5-1	83%from 69%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
vs MIN + as a favorite	5-2	71%from 69%	+6.9	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	5-1	83%from 71%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 71%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 71%	+9.2	0/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.