LV at NONO -3.25o/u 42.5

ST Model NO -1.3(-1.9 vs market)

Since first recorded NO -30.5 → NOo/u 42.5flat49d ago · 2 books · 1 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 3

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

LV — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	102-106	49%	-1.7	0/208	n=208
vs NO	4-4	50%	-4.4	0/8	n=8
as an underdog	134-142	49%	-1.4	0/276	n=276
spread 3.5-6.5	62-70	47%	-1.8	0/132	n=132
in the Sunday late window	102-118	46%	-1.1	0/220	n=220
in September	42-44	49%	-1.1	0/86	n=86
indoors	48-43	53%	-2.2	0/91	n=91
on turf	30-43	41%	-5.0	0/73	n=73
at this venue	3-2	60%	-5.3	0/5	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	41-43	49%	-1.7	0/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LV — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -7.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -1.6 pts vs their number per game	n=419

LV — combinations

81 lean LV · 55 lean against

Read this first. 156 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in September + on turf	11-5	69%from 49%	+1.1	0/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 69%	-3.5	0/5	n=5
vs NO + indoors	4-2	67%from 50%	-2.1	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 67%	-5.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-5.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 67%	-5.3	0/5	n=5
on the road + in the Sunday late window	35-22	61%from 49%	+1.9	0/57	n=57
+ indoors	6-4	60%from 61%	-0.8	0/10	n=10
+ on turf	3-4	43%from 60%	-3.0	0/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 60%	-0.6	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 61%	+2.1	0/10	n=10
+ on turf	7-5	58%from 61%	-0.7	0/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 58%	+1.6	0/7	n=7
+ in September	4-3	57%from 61%	-2.1	0/7	n=7
on the road + in September	26-17	60%from 49%	+0.5	0/43	n=43
+ on turf	11-5	69%from 60%	+1.1	0/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 69%	-3.5	0/5	n=5
+ indoors	5-3	63%from 60%	+2.4	0/8	n=8
+ on turf	4-3	57%from 63%	+2.1	0/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 60%	-1.0	0/9	n=9
on the road + vs NO	3-2	60%from 49%	-5.3	0/5	n=5
+ indoors	3-2	60%from 60%	-5.3	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 60%	-5.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-5.3	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 60%	-5.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-5.3	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 60%	-5.3	0/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

NO — the basics

435 graded games since 1999

at home	102-117	47%	-0.3	8/219	n=219
vs LV	4-4	50%	+4.4	0/8	n=8
as a favorite	128-125	51%	+0.7	4/253	n=253
spread 3.5-6.5	84-75	53%	+1.6	8/159	n=159
in the Sunday late window	44-38	54%	+0.5	5/82	n=82
in September	39-48	45%	-0.9	4/87	n=87
indoors	128-144	47%	-0.5	10/272	n=272
on turf	147-154	49%	+0.3	12/301	n=301
at this venue	97-111	47%	-0.3	8/208	n=208
under this head coach	9-8	53%	-0.2	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	38-46	45%	+0.7	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NO — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 435 graded games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=435
NO has covered 6 straight	n=6

NO — combinations

79 lean NO · 154 lean against

Read this first. 262 combinations shown. The best one here is 89%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday late window + in September	9-6	60%from 54%	+2.9	1/15	n=15
+ on turf	4-3	57%from 60%	+0.4	1/7	n=7
as a favorite + in the Sunday late window	23-17	57%from 51%	+1.7	1/40	n=40
+ on turf	14-9	61%from 57%	+2.9	1/23	n=23
+ at this venue	11-8	58%from 61%	+2.7	1/19	n=19
+ at this venue	11-8	58%from 57%	+2.7	1/19	n=19
+ indoors	12-10	55%from 57%	+1.1	1/22	n=22
+ at this venue	11-8	58%from 55%	+2.7	1/19	n=19
+ on turf	12-9	57%from 55%	+1.9	1/21	n=21
spread 3.5-6.5 + in the Sunday late window	20-15	57%from 53%	+1.3	1/35	n=35
+ in September	8-1	89%from 57%	+11.2	0/9	n=9
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 89%	+8.0	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	9-9	50%from 57%	-0.2	1/18	n=18
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 50%	-0.4	1/9	n=9
+ indoors	6-7	46%from 57%	-2.4	1/13	n=13
+ on turf	6-6	50%from 46%	-1.3	1/12	n=12
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 46%	-0.4	1/9	n=9
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 57%	-0.4	1/9	n=9
spread 3.5-6.5 + in September	20-15	57%from 53%	+3.3	1/35	n=35
+ at this venue	8-5	62%from 57%	+3.5	1/13	n=13
+ on turf	14-9	61%from 57%	+3.3	1/23	n=23
+ at this venue	8-5	62%from 61%	+3.5	1/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 57%	+19.6	1/5	n=5
+ indoors	10-9	53%from 57%	+1.5	1/19	n=19
+ at this venue	8-5	62%from 53%	+3.5	1/13	n=13
+ on turf	10-8	56%from 53%	+2.3	1/18	n=18

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.