LAR at DENLAR -3o/u 45.5
ST Model LAR -3.6(-0.6 vs market)
Since first recorded LAR -3o/u 45.5unchanged · 49d ago · 1 books
Trends · player props · 2026 week 3
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
LAR — the basics
434 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 104-117 | 47% | -1.6 | 83/221 | n=221 |
| vs DEN | 4-3 | 57% | +9.3 | 2/7 | n=7 |
| as a favorite | 110-118 | 48% | -0.6 | 109/228 | n=228 |
| spread 3 | 25-32 | 44% | -1.1 | 21/57 | n=57 |
| on Sunday night | 10-16 | 38% | -2.1 | 18/26 | n=26 |
| in September | 35-50 | 41% | -2.7 | 30/85 | n=85 |
| outdoors | 87-107 | 45% | -2.4 | 82/194 | n=194 |
| on grass | 75-83 | 47% | -1.8 | 72/158 | n=158 |
| under this head coach | 89-72 | 55% | +1.1 | 161/161 | n=161 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 51-42 | 55% | +0.7 | 93/93 | n=93 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
LAR — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +3.2 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 434 graded games: -1.3 pts vs their number per game | n=434 |
| LAR has failed to cover 3 straight | n=3 |
LAR — combinations
69 lean LAR · 81 lean against
Read this first. 171 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 82% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on the road + spread 3 | 17-11 | 61%from 47% | +1.0 | 11/28 | n=28 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-1 | 83%from 61% | +11.3 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + under this head coach | 8-3 | 73%from 61% | +8.9 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-1 | 83%from 73% | +11.3 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + outdoors | 14-10 | 58%from 61% | +1.1 | 9/24 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 58% | +9.6 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + under this head coach | 6-3 | 67%from 58% | +8.0 | 9/9 | n=9 |
| + on grass | 9-8 | 53%from 58% | +0.5 | 6/17 | n=17 |
| + on grass | 11-8 | 58%from 61% | +2.0 | 7/19 | n=19 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 58% | +12.2 | 5/5 | n=5 |
| + under this head coach | 4-3 | 57%from 58% | +6.9 | 7/7 | n=7 |
| + in September | 2-5 | 29%from 61% | -5.4 | 2/7 | n=7 |
| + outdoors | 2-5 | 29%from 29% | -5.4 | 2/7 | n=7 |
| + on grass | 1-5 | 17%from 29% | -6.7 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| outdoors + in the last 5 seasons | 20-13 | 61%from 45% | +1.5 | 33/33 | n=33 |
| in September + under this head coach | 18-12 | 60%from 41% | +2.7 | 30/30 | n=30 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-7 | 56%from 60% | +0.2 | 16/16 | n=16 |
| spread 3 + in the last 5 seasons | 7-5 | 58%from 44% | +8.2 | 12/12 | n=12 |
| spread 3 + under this head coach | 12-9 | 57%from 44% | +6.5 | 21/21 | n=21 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-5 | 58%from 57% | +8.2 | 12/12 | n=12 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 47-36 | 57%from 47% | +1.9 | 83/83 | n=83 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 26-22 | 54%from 57% | +0.4 | 48/48 | n=48 |
| in September + in the last 5 seasons | 9-7 | 56%from 41% | +0.2 | 16/16 | n=16 |
| outdoors + under this head coach | 46-36 | 56%from 45% | +1.9 | 82/82 | n=82 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 20-13 | 61%from 56% | +1.5 | 33/33 | n=33 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.