HOU at INDHOU -1.5o/u 45.5

ST Model IND -1.1(+2.6 vs market)

Since first recorded HOU -1.5o/u 45.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 3

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

HOU — the basics

393 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-103	48%	-0.3	29/198	n=198
vs IND	19-27	41%	-2.9	6/46	n=46
as a favorite	72-79	48%	-0.6	27/151	n=151
spread 1-2.5	38-37	51%	+0.1	19/75	n=75
in a division game	74-66	53%	+1.6	18/140	n=140
in the Sunday early window	143-139	51%	+0.2	37/282	n=282
in September	35-44	44%	-1.4	10/79	n=79
on turf	74-86	46%	-1.4	42/160	n=160
at this venue	9-8	53%	-2.1	3/17	n=17
under this head coach	29-27	52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+1.6	56/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

HOU — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 393 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=393

HOU — combinations

102 lean HOU · 174 lean against

Read this first. 316 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 53%	-1.0	3/5	n=5
spread 1-2.5 + under this head coach	11-8	58%from 51%	+3.0	19/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 58%	+3.0	19/19	n=19
in the Sunday early window + at this venue	8-6	57%from 51%	-1.5	2/14	n=14
on the road + in a division game	40-31	56%from 48%	+1.8	9/71	n=71
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-5	67%from 56%	+6.2	9/15	n=15
+ in the Sunday early window	36-27	57%from 56%	+2.1	8/63	n=63
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 57%	+6.3	8/13	n=13
+ at this venue	8-6	57%from 57%	-1.5	2/14	n=14
+ on turf	9-9	50%from 57%	-3.8	2/18	n=18
+ in September	5-5	50%from 57%	+2.3	3/10	n=10
+ under this head coach	4-4	50%from 57%	+5.3	8/8	n=8
+ under this head coach	5-4	56%from 56%	+5.0	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 56%	+5.0	9/9	n=9
+ at this venue	9-8	53%from 56%	-2.1	3/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 53%	-1.0	3/5	n=5
+ in September	5-5	50%from 56%	+2.3	3/10	n=10
+ on turf	11-12	48%from 56%	-3.6	3/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 48%	-1.0	3/5	n=5
+ at this venue	9-8	53%from 48%	-2.1	3/17	n=17
vs IND + in September	5-4	56%from 41%	+1.3	2/9	n=9
+ on turf	2-3	40%from 56%	-1.7	2/5	n=5
in a division game + in the Sunday early window	66-53	55%from 53%	+2.1	17/119	n=119
+ at this venue	8-6	57%from 55%	-1.5	2/14	n=14
+ in September	13-12	52%from 55%	+1.9	6/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 52%	+6.8	6/8	n=8
+ on turf	4-5	44%from 52%	+0.1	4/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 52%	+4.7	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-13	52%from 55%	+3.2	17/27	n=27
+ on turf	20-21	49%from 55%	-0.6	11/41	n=41
+ at this venue	8-6	57%from 49%	-1.5	2/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-10	44%from 49%	-0.2	11/18	n=18
+ under this head coach	4-7	36%from 49%	+1.9	11/11	n=11
+ under this head coach	7-10	41%from 55%	+3.4	17/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-10	41%from 41%	+3.4	17/17	n=17

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

IND — the basics

437 graded games since 1999

at home	112-108	51%	+0.8	26/220	n=220
vs HOU	27-19	59%	+2.9	6/46	n=46
as an underdog	87-80	52%	-0.9	28/167	n=167
spread 1-2.5	48-39	55%	+0.6	18/87	n=87
in a division game	79-79	50%	+0.2	18/158	n=158
in the Sunday early window	131-133	50%	+0.4	40/264	n=264
in September	48-36	57%	+1.7	11/84	n=84
on turf	153-137	53%	+0.9	37/290	n=290
at this venue	76-73	51%	+0.6	26/149	n=149
under this head coach	27-24	53%	+0.2	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	43-42	51%	-0.5	51/85	n=85

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

IND — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 437 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=437

IND — combinations

246 lean IND · 135 lean against

Read this first. 421 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 5.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in September + under this head coach	8-3	73%from 57%	+4.9	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 73%	+4.9	11/11	n=11
spread 1-2.5 + under this head coach	13-5	72%from 55%	+4.3	18/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-5	72%from 72%	+4.3	18/18	n=18
vs HOU + as an underdog	10-4	71%from 59%	+4.0	4/14	n=14
+ on turf	9-2	82%from 71%	+6.8	4/11	n=11
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 82%	+5.0	2/5	n=5
+ in a division game	10-4	71%from 71%	+4.0	4/14	n=14
+ on turf	9-2	82%from 71%	+6.8	4/11	n=11
+ in the Sunday early window	6-3	67%from 71%	+2.3	3/9	n=9
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 71%	+5.0	2/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday early window	6-3	67%from 71%	+2.3	3/9	n=9
+ on turf	6-1	86%from 67%	+5.7	3/7	n=7
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 71%	+5.0	2/5	n=5
spread 1-2.5 + in the last 5 seasons	16-7	70%from 55%	+3.9	18/23	n=23
spread 1-2.5 + in September	14-7	67%from 55%	+4.2	5/21	n=21
+ under this head coach	5-0	100%from 67%	+9.2	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-0	100%from 100%	+9.2	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-0	100%from 67%	+9.2	5/5	n=5
+ on turf	11-6	65%from 67%	+3.9	5/17	n=17
+ under this head coach	5-0	100%from 65%	+9.2	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-0	100%from 65%	+9.2	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	7-5	58%from 65%	+1.0	4/12	n=12
+ at this venue	7-5	58%from 67%	+1.0	4/12	n=12
vs HOU + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 59%	+0.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 67%	+0.8	6/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.