CAR at CLECAR -1.5o/u 39.5

ST Model CAR -0.9(+0.6 vs market)

Since first recorded CAR -2.51 → CLEo/u 40.5-149d ago · 1 books · 1 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 3

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

CAR — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

on the road	112-104	52%	+0.3	17/216	n=216
vs CLE	3-3	50%	+1.6	0/6	n=6
as a favorite	79-97	45%	-1.1	3/176	n=176
spread 1-2.5	41-35	54%	+0.8	4/76	n=76
in the Sunday early window	149-152	50%	-0.6	25/301	n=301
in September	38-45	46%	-0.3	8/83	n=83
outdoors	167-171	49%	-0.9	29/338	n=338
on grass	159-156	50%	-0.5	28/315	n=315
under this head coach	19-16	54%	-1.8	35/35	n=35
in the last 5 seasons	37-47	44%	-2.1	35/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CAR — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=427
CAR has covered 2 straight	n=2

CAR — combinations

35 lean CAR · 113 lean against

Read this first. 181 combinations shown. The best one here is 65%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on the road + spread 1-2.5	19-14	58%from 52%	+2.4	2/33	n=33
+ on grass	8-5	62%from 58%	+1.8	0/13	n=13
+ outdoors	10-7	59%from 58%	+0.1	1/17	n=17
+ on grass	7-5	58%from 59%	+0.2	0/12	n=12
+ in the Sunday early window	13-11	54%from 58%	+0.0	1/24	n=24
+ outdoors	7-7	50%from 54%	-2.5	1/14	n=14
+ on grass	4-5	44%from 54%	-3.7	0/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 58%	-3.3	2/5	n=5
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	14-11	56%from 50%	-2.1	25/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-11	56%from 56%	-2.1	25/25	n=25
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	19-16	54%from 54%	-1.8	35/35	n=35
spread 1-2.5 + in the Sunday early window	32-27	54%from 54%	+0.3	3/59	n=59
+ outdoors	26-23	53%from 54%	-0.4	3/49	n=49
+ on grass	23-21	52%from 53%	-0.4	2/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-8	38%from 53%	-2.7	3/13	n=13
+ on grass	23-21	52%from 54%	-0.4	2/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-7	30%from 52%	-4.8	2/10	n=10
+ in September	5-5	50%from 54%	+5.0	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	4-3	57%from 50%	+5.6	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	4-4	50%from 50%	+4.4	0/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-8	38%from 54%	-2.7	3/13	n=13
spread 1-2.5 + in September	7-6	54%from 54%	+3.4	0/13	n=13
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 54%	+3.4	0/10	n=10
+ outdoors	5-5	50%from 54%	+0.9	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	5-4	56%from 50%	+1.5	0/9	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

CLE — the basics

415 graded games since 1999

at home	95-109	47%	-1.6	0/204	n=204
vs CAR	3-3	50%	-1.6	0/6	n=6
as an underdog	135-159	46%	-1.4	0/294	n=294
spread 1-2.5	41-54	43%	-2.5	0/95	n=95
in the Sunday early window	133-171	44%	-2.0	0/304	n=304
in September	45-42	52%	-0.4	0/87	n=87
outdoors	171-211	45%	-2.0	0/382	n=382
on grass	148-172	46%	-1.9	0/320	n=320
at this venue	95-108	47%	-1.6	0/203	n=203
in the last 5 seasons	36-48	43%	-2.2	0/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CLE — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 415 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=415
CLE has covered 3 straight	n=3

CLE — combinations

99 lean CLE · 113 lean against

Read this first. 253 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 75% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
as an underdog + in September	36-27	57%from 46%	+0.5	0/63	n=63
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 57%	+3.3	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	17-9	65%from 57%	+3.1	0/26	n=26
+ on grass	29-17	63%from 57%	+1.7	0/46	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 63%	+3.1	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	16-9	64%from 63%	+2.3	0/25	n=25
+ outdoors	33-25	57%from 57%	+0.4	0/58	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-1	86%from 57%	+5.8	0/7	n=7
+ at this venue	17-9	65%from 57%	+3.1	0/26	n=26
+ on grass	29-17	63%from 57%	+1.7	0/46	n=46
in September + on grass	36-31	54%from 52%	-0.1	0/67	n=67
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 54%	+0.8	0/14	n=14
+ at this venue	23-22	51%from 54%	-0.5	0/45	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 51%	+1.6	0/9	n=9
in September + in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 52%	+0.7	0/17	n=17
at home + in the last 5 seasons	22-20	52%from 47%	+0.2	0/42	n=42
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	22-20	52%from 47%	+0.2	0/42	n=42
in the Sunday early window + in September	34-31	52%from 44%	-0.2	0/65	n=65
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 52%	+2.9	0/12	n=12
+ on grass	27-23	54%from 52%	+0.3	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 54%	+2.6	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	19-18	51%from 54%	-0.1	0/37	n=37
+ at this venue	20-18	53%from 52%	+0.5	0/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 53%	+5.9	0/8	n=8
+ outdoors	30-29	51%from 52%	-0.4	0/59	n=59
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 51%	+4.4	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	27-23	54%from 51%	+0.3	0/50	n=50
+ at this venue	20-18	53%from 51%	+0.5	0/38	n=38

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.