ARI at SFSF -11.5o/u 46.5

ST Model SF -7.4(-4.1 vs market)

Since first recorded SF -11.5o/u 46.5unchanged · 50d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 3

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

ARI — the basics

424 graded games since 1999

on the road	105-105	50%	-1.4	26/210	n=210
vs SF	23-25	48%	-1.0	6/48	n=48
as an underdog	146-135	52%	-0.6	41/281	n=281
spread 10-13.5	16-24	40%	-3.4	5/40	n=40
in a division game	73-85	46%	-1.8	18/158	n=158
in the Sunday late window	125-121	51%	-0.1	32/246	n=246
in September	44-43	51%	-0.8	11/87	n=87
outdoors	108-112	49%	-1.4	19/220	n=220
on grass	157-156	50%	-0.7	35/313	n=313
at this venue	8-3	73%	+5.0	3/11	n=11
under this head coach	26-25	51%	-0.6	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	51/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ARI — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 424 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=424
ARI has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

ARI — combinations

243 lean ARI · 178 lean against

Read this first. 472 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 5.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs SF + in September	6-2	75%from 48%	+6.6	1/8	n=8
+ on grass	6-2	75%from 75%	+6.6	1/8	n=8
as an underdog + at this venue	6-2	75%from 52%	+5.0	3/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 75%	+2.6	3/5	n=5
on the road + at this venue	8-3	73%from 50%	+5.0	3/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 73%	+2.6	3/5	n=5
vs SF + at this venue	8-3	73%from 48%	+5.0	3/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 73%	+2.6	3/5	n=5
in a division game + at this venue	8-3	73%from 46%	+5.0	3/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 73%	+2.6	3/5	n=5
outdoors + at this venue	8-3	73%from 49%	+5.0	3/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 73%	+2.6	3/5	n=5
on grass + at this venue	8-3	73%from 50%	+5.0	3/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 73%	+2.6	3/5	n=5
spread 10-13.5 + in September	5-2	71%from 40%	+3.5	1/7	n=7
in the Sunday late window + at this venue	7-3	70%from 51%	+4.6	3/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 70%	+2.6	3/5	n=5
in September + under this head coach	7-4	64%from 51%	+2.1	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 64%	+2.1	11/11	n=11
on the road + in September	24-15	62%from 50%	-0.5	4/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-0	100%from 62%	+6.9	4/7	n=7
+ on grass	13-3	81%from 62%	+5.8	1/16	n=16
+ outdoors	18-9	67%from 62%	+1.6	3/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-0	100%from 67%	+7.1	3/5	n=5
+ on grass	12-3	80%from 67%	+5.5	1/15	n=15

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

SF — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

at home	106-111	49%	+0.6	79/217	n=217
vs ARI	25-23	52%	+1.0	17/48	n=48
as a favorite	115-111	51%	+1.4	104/226	n=226
spread 10-13.5	23-26	47%	-1.2	18/49	n=49
in a division game	79-81	49%	+0.3	56/160	n=160
in the Sunday late window	106-110	49%	-0.2	78/216	n=216
in September	42-41	51%	-0.5	30/83	n=83
outdoors	174-181	49%	-0.1	130/355	n=355
on grass	158-166	49%	+0.2	123/324	n=324
at this venue	45-55	45%	-0.3	76/100	n=100
under this head coach	83-79	51%	+0.8	162/162	n=162
in the last 5 seasons	51-45	53%	+0.6	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=434

SF — combinations

207 lean SF · 349 lean against

Read this first. 637 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 8.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs ARI + spread 10-13.5	6-1	86%from 52%	+9.1	3/7	n=7
+ outdoors	6-0	100%from 86%	+11.8	2/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.6	1/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday late window	5-0	100%from 86%	+10.6	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.6	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 100%	+10.6	1/5	n=5
+ in a division game	6-1	86%from 86%	+9.1	3/7	n=7
+ outdoors	6-0	100%from 86%	+11.8	2/6	n=6
+ in the Sunday late window	5-0	100%from 86%	+10.6	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 86%	+7.6	2/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 86%	+7.6	2/6	n=6
spread 10-13.5 + in the last 5 seasons	6-3	67%from 47%	+3.2	9/9	n=9
at home + spread 10-13.5	12-8	60%from 49%	+0.9	7/20	n=20
+ in a division game	6-2	75%from 60%	+4.3	1/8	n=8
+ outdoors	6-2	75%from 75%	+4.3	1/8	n=8
+ on grass	6-2	75%from 75%	+4.3	1/8	n=8
+ in the Sunday late window	5-2	71%from 75%	+3.7	0/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 60%	+2.4	6/6	n=6
+ outdoors	12-8	60%from 60%	+0.9	7/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 60%	+2.4	6/6	n=6
+ on grass	12-8	60%from 60%	+0.9	7/20	n=20
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 60%	-0.4	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 60%	-0.9	7/10	n=10
+ on grass	12-8	60%from 60%	+0.9	7/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 60%	+2.4	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 60%	-0.4	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 60%	-0.9	7/10	n=10
+ in the Sunday late window	10-7	59%from 60%	+0.6	4/17	n=17
+ outdoors	10-7	59%from 59%	+0.6	4/17	n=17
+ on grass	10-7	59%from 59%	+0.6	4/17	n=17
+ at this venue	3-4	43%from 59%	-2.5	4/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 60%	-0.4	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 57%	+2.4	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-5	50%from 60%	-0.9	7/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 50%	+2.4	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 50%	-0.4	7/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.