JAX at DENDEN -2.5o/u 43.5

ST Model JAX -0.3(-2.8 vs market)

Since first recorded DEN -30.5 → JAXo/u 43.5flat49d ago · 2 books · 1 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 2

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

JAX — the basics

418 graded games since 1999

on the road	105-104	50%	-1.2	8/209	n=209
vs DEN	7-4	64%	+2.9	1/11	n=11
as an underdog	135-135	50%	-0.7	8/270	n=270
spread 1-2.5	37-47	44%	-1.4	7/84	n=84
in the Sunday late window	34-37	48%	-2.5	4/71	n=71
in September	43-44	49%	-1.6	4/87	n=87
outdoors	171-188	48%	-0.8	14/359	n=359
on grass	152-170	47%	-0.6	15/322	n=322
at this venue	5-0	100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
under this head coach	12-6	67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	46-41	53%	+0.2	18/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

JAX — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 418 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=418

JAX — combinations

144 lean JAX · 51 lean against

Read this first. 231 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 60.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on the road + vs DEN	5-0	100%from 50%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ as an underdog	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday late window	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday late window	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
on the road + at this venue	5-0	100%from 50%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
vs DEN + in the Sunday late window	5-0	100%from 64%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
+ at this venue	5-0	100%from 100%	+11.2	1/5	n=5
vs DEN + at this venue	5-0	100%from 64%	+11.2	1/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

DEN — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

at home	104-112	48%	-0.0	28/216	n=216
vs JAX	4-7	36%	-2.9	1/11	n=11
as a favorite	112-140	44%	-1.0	29/252	n=252
spread 1-2.5	38-42	48%	+0.5	11/80	n=80
in the Sunday late window	110-120	48%	-0.1	29/230	n=230
in September	43-40	52%	+2.2	11/83	n=83
outdoors	185-197	48%	-0.5	42/382	n=382
on grass	167-176	49%	-0.1	38/343	n=343
at this venue	100-107	48%	-0.1	28/207	n=207
under this head coach	27-26	51%	+1.4	53/53	n=53
in the last 5 seasons	42-45	48%	+0.2	53/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=427
DEN has covered 3 straight	n=3

DEN — combinations

181 lean DEN · 185 lean against

Read this first. 396 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 1-2.5 + under this head coach	7-4	64%from 48%	+5.8	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 64%	+5.8	11/11	n=11
at home + under this head coach	17-11	61%from 48%	+3.9	28/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-11	61%from 61%	+3.9	28/28	n=28
at this venue + under this head coach	17-11	61%from 48%	+3.9	28/28	n=28
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-11	61%from 61%	+3.9	28/28	n=28
spread 1-2.5 + at this venue	23-15	61%from 48%	+3.7	7/38	n=38
+ under this head coach	5-2	71%from 61%	+6.1	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 71%	+6.1	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 61%	+1.5	7/14	n=14
at home + spread 1-2.5	23-16	59%from 48%	+2.6	7/39	n=39
+ under this head coach	5-2	71%from 59%	+6.1	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 71%	+6.1	7/7	n=7
+ in September	4-2	67%from 59%	+7.8	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	4-2	67%from 67%	+7.8	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 67%	+7.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	+7.8	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	23-15	61%from 59%	+3.7	7/38	n=38
+ under this head coach	5-2	71%from 61%	+6.1	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	23-15	61%from 61%	+3.7	7/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 61%	+1.5	7/14	n=14
+ at this venue	23-15	61%from 59%	+3.7	7/38	n=38
+ under this head coach	5-2	71%from 61%	+6.1	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 61%	+1.5	7/14	n=14
+ in the Sunday late window	16-11	59%from 59%	+3.2	5/27	n=27
+ under this head coach	4-1	80%from 59%	+8.6	5/5	n=5
+ outdoors	16-11	59%from 59%	+3.2	5/27	n=27
+ on grass	16-11	59%from 59%	+3.2	5/27	n=27
+ at this venue	16-11	59%from 59%	+3.2	5/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 59%	+1.8	5/11	n=11
+ outdoors	23-16	59%from 59%	+2.6	7/39	n=39
+ under this head coach	5-2	71%from 59%	+6.1	7/7	n=7
+ on grass	23-15	61%from 59%	+3.7	7/38	n=38
+ at this venue	23-15	61%from 59%	+3.7	7/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 59%	+1.5	7/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 59%	+1.5	7/14	n=14

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.