DET at BUFBUF -3o/u 52.5

ST Model BUF -2.9(-0.1 vs market)

Since first recorded BUF -3o/u 52.5unchanged · 49d ago · 6 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 2

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

DET — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-104	50%	-1.5	44/210	n=210
vs BUF	4-3	57%	-0.5	2/7	n=7
as an underdog	134-127	51%	-1.6	39/261	n=261
spread 3	29-39	43%	-2.8	12/68	n=68
on a short week	11-16	41%	-2.9	6/27	n=27
on Thursday night	15-17	47%	-1.2	8/32	n=32
in September	48-38	56%	-0.2	18/86	n=86
outdoors	76-72	51%	-1.6	29/148	n=148
on turf	153-143	52%	-0.3	64/296	n=296
under this head coach	56-31	64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87
in the last 5 seasons	56-31	64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

DET — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=419

DET — combinations

85 lean DET · 62 lean against

Read this first. 172 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on the road + on Thursday night	4-1	80%from 50%	+4.1	3/5	n=5
vs BUF + as an underdog	4-1	80%from 57%	+2.5	1/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 80%	+2.5	1/5	n=5
in September + under this head coach	14-4	78%from 56%	+4.2	18/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-4	78%from 78%	+4.2	18/18	n=18
in September + in the last 5 seasons	14-4	78%from 56%	+4.2	18/18	n=18
on the road + under this head coach	29-15	66%from 50%	+0.7	44/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	29-15	66%from 66%	+0.7	44/44	n=44
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	29-15	66%from 50%	+0.7	44/44	n=44
on turf + under this head coach	42-22	66%from 52%	+3.1	64/64	n=64
+ in the last 5 seasons	42-22	66%from 66%	+3.1	64/64	n=64
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	42-22	66%from 52%	+3.1	64/64	n=64
in September + on turf	35-19	65%from 56%	+2.4	13/54	n=54
+ under this head coach	11-2	85%from 65%	+5.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-2	85%from 85%	+5.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-2	85%from 65%	+5.1	13/13	n=13
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	56-31	64%from 64%	+2.2	87/87	n=87
as an underdog + under this head coach	25-14	64%from 51%	+0.2	39/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	25-14	64%from 64%	+0.2	39/39	n=39
as an underdog + in the last 5 seasons	25-14	64%from 51%	+0.2	39/39	n=39
outdoors + under this head coach	18-11	62%from 51%	-0.5	29/29	n=29
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-11	62%from 62%	-0.5	29/29	n=29
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	18-11	62%from 51%	-0.5	29/29	n=29
vs BUF + on turf	4-3	57%from 57%	-0.5	2/7	n=7
as an underdog + in September	31-24	56%from 51%	-0.6	9/55	n=55
+ under this head coach	7-2	78%from 56%	+2.3	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 78%	+2.3	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 56%	+2.3	9/9	n=9
+ on turf	21-10	68%from 56%	+2.5	6/31	n=31
+ under this head coach	6-0	100%from 68%	+4.6	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-0	100%from 68%	+4.6	6/6	n=6
+ outdoors	13-15	46%from 56%	-3.1	4/28	n=28
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 46%	+6.0	1/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

BUF — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

at home	109-105	51%	+0.9	81/214	n=214
vs DET	3-4	43%	+0.5	3/7	n=7
as a favorite	107-96	53%	+1.8	104/203	n=203
spread 3	31-29	52%	-0.2	13/60	n=60
on a short week	5-9	36%	+0.2	8/14	n=14
on Thursday night	8-9	47%	+2.7	10/17	n=17
in September	50-38	57%	+3.0	31/88	n=88
outdoors	196-182	52%	+0.6	138/378	n=378
on turf	155-146	52%	+1.1	117/301	n=301
at this venue	106-100	51%	+1.0	79/206	n=206
under this head coach	85-73	54%	+2.3	158/158	n=158
in the last 5 seasons	47-45	51%	+2.8	92/92	n=92

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BUF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423

BUF — combinations

163 lean BUF · 96 lean against

Read this first. 281 combinations shown. The best one here is 68%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in September + under this head coach	19-12	61%from 57%	+5.6	31/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 61%	+9.1	17/17	n=17
in September + in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 57%	+9.1	17/17	n=17
as a favorite + in September	24-17	59%from 53%	+5.6	20/41	n=41
+ under this head coach	12-8	60%from 59%	+8.4	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 60%	+10.8	14/14	n=14
+ on turf	20-15	57%from 59%	+4.3	16/35	n=35
+ under this head coach	10-6	63%from 57%	+7.3	16/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 57%	+8.9	11/11	n=11
+ at this venue	16-14	53%from 57%	+3.5	12/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 59%	+10.8	14/14	n=14
+ outdoors	22-17	56%from 59%	+5.1	19/39	n=39
+ under this head coach	11-8	58%from 56%	+7.8	19/19	n=19
+ on turf	18-15	55%from 56%	+3.7	15/33	n=33
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 56%	+10.1	13/13	n=13
+ at this venue	16-14	53%from 56%	+3.5	12/30	n=30
+ at this venue	16-14	53%from 59%	+3.5	12/30	n=30
+ under this head coach	7-5	58%from 53%	+6.5	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 53%	+9.0	8/8	n=8
as a favorite + spread 3	15-11	58%from 53%	+0.2	8/26	n=26
+ outdoors	14-11	56%from 58%	+0.1	7/25	n=25
+ at this venue	8-7	53%from 56%	-1.7	2/15	n=15
+ on turf	10-10	50%from 56%	-1.3	5/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 56%	+2.6	5/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	2-5	29%from 56%	-4.6	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	8-7	53%from 58%	-1.7	2/15	n=15
+ on turf	10-10	50%from 58%	-1.3	5/20	n=20
+ at this venue	8-7	53%from 50%	-1.7	2/15	n=15
+ under this head coach	1-4	20%from 50%	-3.8	5/5	n=5
+ in September	3-3	50%from 58%	+1.0	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	3-3	50%from 50%	+1.0	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	2-3	40%from 50%	-2.4	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 50%	-2.4	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 58%	+2.6	5/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	3-5	38%from 58%	-3.5	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 38%	+2.6	5/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.