CAR at ATLATL -1.5o/u 43.5

ST Model ATL -4.2(+2.7 vs market)

Since first recorded ATL -1.5o/u 43.5unchanged · 49d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 2

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

CAR — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

on the road	112-104	52%	+0.3	17/216	n=216
vs ATL	23-28	45%	-1.3	4/51	n=51
as an underdog	133-111	55%	+0.3	32/244	n=244
spread 1-2.5	41-35	54%	+0.8	4/76	n=76
in a division game	83-76	52%	-0.0	12/159	n=159
in the Sunday early window	149-152	50%	-0.6	25/301	n=301
in September	38-45	46%	-0.3	8/83	n=83
on turf	57-55	51%	+0.4	7/112	n=112
at this venue	5-4	56%	+0.6	2/9	n=9
under this head coach	19-16	54%	-1.8	35/35	n=35
in the last 5 seasons	37-47	44%	-2.1	35/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CAR — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=427
CAR has covered 2 straight	n=2

CAR — combinations

171 lean CAR · 97 lean against

Read this first. 309 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 85% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 56%	+4.1	2/5	n=5
vs ATL + in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 45%	+5.1	4/10	n=10
as an underdog + spread 1-2.5	26-13	67%from 55%	+4.9	2/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 67%	+6.5	2/9	n=9
+ on turf	8-4	67%from 67%	+5.8	1/12	n=12
+ in the Sunday early window	20-11	65%from 67%	+3.5	2/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 65%	+7.0	2/6	n=6
+ on turf	7-3	70%from 65%	+5.2	1/10	n=10
+ in September	3-3	50%from 65%	+5.8	0/6	n=6
+ in a division game	9-5	64%from 67%	+3.9	0/14	n=14
+ in the Sunday early window	6-4	60%from 64%	+0.7	0/10	n=10
+ in September	4-3	57%from 67%	+7.9	0/7	n=7
in the Sunday early window + at this venue	5-3	63%from 50%	+1.5	2/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 63%	+4.1	2/5	n=5
as an underdog + under this head coach	19-13	59%from 55%	-0.8	32/32	n=32
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-13	59%from 59%	-0.8	32/32	n=32
in a division game + under this head coach	7-5	58%from 52%	-1.3	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 58%	-1.3	12/12	n=12
on the road + spread 1-2.5	19-14	58%from 52%	+2.4	2/33	n=33
+ in a division game	9-6	60%from 58%	+3.2	1/15	n=15
+ in the Sunday early window	7-3	70%from 60%	+2.5	0/10	n=10
+ on turf	5-5	50%from 60%	+1.0	1/10	n=10
+ on turf	11-9	55%from 58%	+2.9	2/20	n=20
+ in the Sunday early window	13-11	54%from 58%	+0.0	1/24	n=24
+ on turf	9-6	60%from 54%	+2.3	1/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 58%	-3.3	2/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

ATL — the basics

426 graded games since 1999

at home	94-120	44%	-1.0	22/214	n=214
vs CAR	28-23	55%	+1.3	5/51	n=51
as a favorite	97-115	46%	-0.5	20/212	n=212
spread 1-2.5	45-56	45%	-0.1	14/101	n=101
in a division game	74-83	47%	-0.8	17/157	n=157
in the Sunday early window	126-156	45%	-1.6	29/282	n=282
in September	46-43	52%	+0.4	8/89	n=89
on turf	138-164	46%	-1.0	32/302	n=302
at this venue	28-44	39%	-1.9	22/72	n=72
under this head coach	21-24	47%	-0.9	45/45	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	34-49	41%	-2.8	34/83	n=83

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ATL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=426

ATL — combinations

57 lean ATL · 345 lean against

Read this first. 431 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + vs CAR	15-11	58%from 44%	+0.9	2/26	n=26
+ in September	4-2	67%from 58%	+1.8	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	4-2	67%from 67%	+1.8	0/6	n=6
+ in the Sunday early window	12-8	60%from 58%	+1.6	2/20	n=20
+ in September	4-1	80%from 60%	+2.8	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	12-8	60%from 60%	+1.6	2/20	n=20
+ at this venue	3-5	38%from 60%	-1.5	2/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 60%	-4.1	2/5	n=5
+ in a division game	15-11	58%from 58%	+0.9	2/26	n=26
+ in September	4-2	67%from 58%	+1.8	0/6	n=6
+ in the Sunday early window	12-8	60%from 58%	+1.6	2/20	n=20
+ on turf	15-11	58%from 58%	+0.9	2/26	n=26
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 58%	-0.6	2/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 58%	-4.1	2/5	n=5
+ on turf	15-11	58%from 58%	+0.9	2/26	n=26
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 58%	-0.6	2/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 58%	-4.1	2/5	n=5
+ as a favorite	10-9	53%from 58%	+0.5	2/19	n=19
+ in September	4-1	80%from 53%	+2.8	0/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday early window	8-7	53%from 53%	+1.4	2/15	n=15
+ in a division game	10-9	53%from 53%	+0.5	2/19	n=19
+ on turf	10-9	53%from 53%	+0.5	2/19	n=19
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 53%	-0.6	2/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 53%	-4.1	2/5	n=5
+ spread 1-2.5	3-3	50%from 58%	-1.8	0/6	n=6
+ in a division game	3-3	50%from 50%	-1.8	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	3-3	50%from 50%	-1.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 58%	-0.6	2/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 44%	-4.1	2/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 58%	-4.1	2/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.