TB at CINCIN -3.5o/u 52.5

ST Model CIN -1.6(-1.9 vs market)

Since first recorded CIN -3.5flato/u 51.5+149d ago · 9 books · 1 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

TB — the basics

425 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-107	50%	+0.6	35/213	n=213
vs CIN	5-2	71%	+4.6	1/7	n=7
as an underdog	108-105	51%	+0.5	31/213	n=213
spread 3.5-6.5	65-85	43%	+0.1	30/150	n=150
in the Sunday early window	134-125	52%	+0.8	38/259	n=259
in September	45-42	52%	+0.6	14/87	n=87
outdoors	151-184	45%	-0.5	52/335	n=335
on turf	60-57	51%	+1.4	25/117	n=117
under this head coach	31-40	44%	+0.0	71/71	n=71
in the last 5 seasons	41-49	46%	+0.1	71/90	n=90

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TB — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 425 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=425
TB has failed to cover 9 straight	n=9

TB — combinations

123 lean TB · 83 lean against

Read this first. 237 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 7.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs CIN + as an underdog	4-1	80%from 71%	+2.6	1/5	n=5
+ spread 3.5-6.5	4-1	80%from 80%	+2.6	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+2.6	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+2.6	1/5	n=5
vs CIN + in the Sunday early window	4-1	80%from 71%	+3.7	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+3.7	0/5	n=5
vs CIN + spread 3.5-6.5	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.6	1/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday early window	4-1	80%from 71%	+3.7	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	4-1	80%from 80%	+3.7	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.6	1/7	n=7
vs CIN + outdoors	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.6	1/7	n=7
on turf + under this head coach	17-8	68%from 51%	+4.5	25/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-8	68%from 68%	+4.5	25/25	n=25
in September + under this head coach	9-5	64%from 52%	+2.9	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 64%	+2.9	14/14	n=14
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	19-12	61%from 51%	+2.6	25/31	n=31
on the road + in September	26-18	59%from 50%	+2.4	6/44	n=44
+ under this head coach	6-0	100%from 59%	+7.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-0	100%from 100%	+7.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-1	86%from 59%	+4.8	6/7	n=7
+ outdoors	12-9	57%from 59%	+3.7	0/21	n=21
+ on turf	1-5	17%from 57%	-6.2	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	15-13	54%from 59%	+0.7	6/28	n=28
+ under this head coach	6-0	100%from 54%	+7.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-1	86%from 54%	+4.8	6/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

CIN — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	99-108	48%	-1.0	58/207	n=207
vs TB	2-5	29%	-4.6	1/7	n=7
as a favorite	94-91	51%	-0.9	56/185	n=185
spread 3.5-6.5	79-69	53%	-0.6	44/148	n=148
in the Sunday early window	148-147	50%	-0.4	74/295	n=295
in September	46-40	53%	-1.5	25/86	n=86
outdoors	197-187	51%	-0.4	109/384	n=384
on turf	118-117	50%	-0.8	58/235	n=235
at this venue	98-107	48%	-1.0	57/205	n=205
under this head coach	67-53	56%	+0.1	120/120	n=120
in the last 5 seasons	52-36	59%	+0.7	88/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CIN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=419

CIN — combinations

178 lean CIN · 178 lean against

Read this first. 392 combinations shown. The best one here is 85%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 3.5-6.5 + in the last 5 seasons	28-6	82%from 53%	+5.7	34/34	n=34
spread 3.5-6.5 + under this head coach	33-11	75%from 53%	+3.6	44/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	28-6	82%from 75%	+5.7	34/34	n=34
as a favorite + in the last 5 seasons	31-21	60%from 51%	-0.4	52/52	n=52
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	52-36	59%from 56%	+0.7	88/88	n=88
outdoors + in the last 5 seasons	46-33	58%from 51%	+0.7	79/79	n=79
as a favorite + spread 3.5-6.5	37-27	58%from 51%	+0.4	21/64	n=64
+ under this head coach	17-4	81%from 58%	+5.3	21/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-4	81%from 81%	+5.3	21/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-4	81%from 58%	+5.3	21/21	n=21
+ outdoors	35-27	56%from 58%	+0.1	19/62	n=62
+ under this head coach	15-4	79%from 56%	+4.7	19/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-4	79%from 56%	+4.7	19/19	n=19
+ on turf	23-21	52%from 56%	-1.1	12/44	n=44
+ at this venue	22-21	51%from 56%	-1.9	10/43	n=43
+ on turf	25-21	54%from 58%	-0.6	14/46	n=46
+ under this head coach	11-3	79%from 54%	+5.3	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-3	79%from 54%	+5.3	14/14	n=14
+ at this venue	20-20	50%from 54%	-1.8	10/40	n=40
+ in the Sunday early window	26-23	53%from 58%	+0.3	14/49	n=49
+ under this head coach	10-4	71%from 53%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 53%	+5.8	14/14	n=14
+ in September	7-6	54%from 53%	-1.5	5/13	n=13
+ outdoors	25-23	52%from 53%	-0.1	13/48	n=48
+ on turf	17-17	50%from 53%	-0.5	9/34	n=34
+ at this venue	16-17	48%from 53%	-1.9	7/33	n=33
+ at this venue	22-21	51%from 58%	-1.9	10/43	n=43
+ under this head coach	7-3	70%from 51%	+3.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 51%	+3.8	10/10	n=10
+ in September	8-8	50%from 58%	-1.4	6/16	n=16
+ under this head coach	4-2	67%from 50%	+1.9	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 50%	+1.9	6/6	n=6
+ on turf	6-5	55%from 50%	+0.3	4/11	n=11
+ outdoors	8-8	50%from 50%	-1.4	6/16	n=16
+ at this venue	5-6	45%from 50%	-2.6	3/11	n=11

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.