SF at LARLAR -3.5o/u 48.5

ST Model LAR -5.2(+1.7 vs market)

Since first recorded LAR -3.5o/u 48.5unchanged · 49d ago · 8 books · 2 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

SF — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

on the road	108-109	50%	-0.6	83/217	n=217
vs LAR	30-21	59%	+3.7	19/51	n=51
as an underdog	98-106	48%	-1.3	58/204	n=204
spread 3.5-6.5	86-69	55%	+1.8	62/155	n=155
in a division game	79-81	49%	+0.3	56/160	n=160
on Thursday night	10-11	48%	+1.1	11/21	n=21
in September	42-41	51%	-0.5	30/83	n=83
indoors	40-39	51%	+0.3	32/79	n=79
on turf	56-54	51%	-0.7	39/110	n=110
at this venue	5-2	71%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
at a neutral site	4-6	40%	-1.4	6/10	n=10
under this head coach	83-79	51%	+0.8	162/162	n=162
in the last 5 seasons	51-45	53%	+0.6	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=434

SF — combinations

269 lean SF · 92 lean against

Read this first. 392 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 89% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 4.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on Thursday night + on turf	6-1	86%from 48%	+10.0	4/7	n=7
vs LAR + in September	7-2	78%from 59%	+7.4	3/9	n=9
on the road + at this venue	5-2	71%from 50%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+4.1	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+4.1	6/6	n=6
vs LAR + at this venue	5-2	71%from 59%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+4.1	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+4.1	6/6	n=6
in a division game + at this venue	5-2	71%from 49%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+4.1	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+4.1	6/6	n=6
on Thursday night + in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 48%	+4.0	7/7	n=7
indoors + at this venue	5-2	71%from 51%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+4.1	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+4.1	6/6	n=6
on turf + at this venue	5-2	71%from 51%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ under this head coach	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+4.1	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+4.1	6/6	n=6
at this venue + under this head coach	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.6	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 71%	+4.1	6/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

LAR — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

at home	102-111	48%	-0.9	78/213	n=213
vs SF	21-30	41%	-3.7	19/51	n=51
as a favorite	110-118	48%	-0.6	109/228	n=228
spread 3.5-6.5	66-62	52%	-1.1	52/128	n=128
in a division game	80-83	49%	-1.1	57/163	n=163
on Thursday night	10-8	56%	-0.1	12/18	n=18
in September	35-50	41%	-2.7	30/85	n=85
indoors	119-121	50%	-0.3	79/240	n=240
on turf	131-145	47%	-0.9	89/276	n=276
at this venue	29-25	54%	+0.2	54/54	n=54
at a neutral site	4-5	44%	+1.8	6/9	n=9
under this head coach	89-72	55%	+1.1	161/161	n=161
in the last 5 seasons	51-42	55%	+0.7	93/93	n=93

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAR — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -1.3 pts vs their number per game	n=434
LAR has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAR — combinations

260 lean LAR · 199 lean against

Read this first. 515 combinations shown. The best one here is 88%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in September + at this venue	7-2	78%from 41%	+1.3	9/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	7-2	78%from 78%	+1.3	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 78%	+1.2	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 78%	+1.2	8/8	n=8
on Thursday night + in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 56%	+1.1	8/8	n=8
on Thursday night + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 56%	+2.0	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 67%	+1.1	8/8	n=8
on Thursday night + at this venue	4-2	67%from 56%	+1.5	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	4-2	67%from 67%	+1.5	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	-1.4	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	-1.4	5/5	n=5
at a neutral site + under this head coach	4-2	67%from 44%	+11.3	6/6	n=6
in a division game + under this head coach	35-22	61%from 49%	+2.6	57/57	n=57
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-13	61%from 61%	+0.6	33/33	n=33
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	20-13	61%from 49%	+0.6	33/33	n=33
in September + under this head coach	18-12	60%from 41%	+2.7	30/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-7	56%from 60%	+0.2	16/16	n=16
on Thursday night + on turf	9-6	60%from 56%	-0.6	9/15	n=15
+ under this head coach	7-2	78%from 60%	+1.8	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 78%	0.0	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 60%	0.0	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 60%	+1.5	6/6	n=6
+ under this head coach	4-2	67%from 67%	+1.5	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	-1.4	5/5	n=5
as a favorite + at a neutral site	3-2	60%from 48%	+7.7	4/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.