NYJ at TENTEN -2.5o/u 38.5

ST Model TEN -2.6(+0.1 vs market)

Since first recorded TEN -2.5o/u 38.5unchanged · 49d ago · 9 books · 1 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

NYJ — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-116	45%	-1.4	8/211	n=211
vs TEN	10-2	83%	+5.5	0/12	n=12
as an underdog	121-139	47%	-0.3	15/260	n=260
spread 1-2.5	46-49	48%	-1.2	5/95	n=95
in the Sunday early window	119-122	49%	+0.4	14/241	n=241
in September	36-48	43%	-1.8	4/84	n=84
outdoors	179-208	46%	-1.0	16/387	n=387
on grass	68-76	47%	-0.8	5/144	n=144
at this venue	6-2	75%	+3.5	0/8	n=8
under this head coach	7-10	41%	-5.7	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	33-51	39%	-2.8	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NYJ — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -6.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=419
NYJ has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

NYJ — combinations

99 lean NYJ · 107 lean against

Read this first. 226 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs TEN + in the Sunday early window	6-0	100%from 83%	+11.3	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	6-0	100%from 100%	+11.3	0/6	n=6
vs TEN + outdoors	10-2	83%from 83%	+5.5	0/12	n=12
+ on grass	6-2	75%from 83%	+3.5	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	6-2	75%from 75%	+3.5	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	6-2	75%from 83%	+3.5	0/8	n=8
on the road + vs TEN	6-2	75%from 45%	+3.5	0/8	n=8
+ outdoors	6-2	75%from 75%	+3.5	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	6-2	75%from 75%	+3.5	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	6-2	75%from 75%	+3.5	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	6-2	75%from 75%	+3.5	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	6-2	75%from 75%	+3.5	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	6-2	75%from 75%	+3.5	0/8	n=8
+ as an underdog	4-2	67%from 75%	+3.8	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.8	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.8	0/6	n=6
on the road + at this venue	6-2	75%from 45%	+3.5	0/8	n=8
vs TEN + as an underdog	6-2	75%from 83%	+5.2	0/8	n=8
+ outdoors	6-2	75%from 75%	+5.2	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 75%	+3.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 75%	+3.8	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 75%	+3.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.8	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 75%	+3.8	0/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

TEN — the basics

421 graded games since 1999

at home	92-114	45%	-1.0	0/206	n=206
vs NYJ	2-10	17%	-5.5	0/12	n=12
as a favorite	79-106	43%	-1.6	0/185	n=185
spread 1-2.5	41-50	45%	-1.9	0/91	n=91
in the Sunday early window	128-168	43%	-1.5	0/296	n=296
in September	41-45	48%	-0.6	0/86	n=86
outdoors	164-200	45%	-0.9	0/364	n=364
on grass	154-180	46%	-0.5	0/334	n=334
at this venue	92-113	45%	-1.0	0/205	n=205
in the last 5 seasons	35-47	43%	-1.8	0/82	n=82

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 421 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=421
TEN has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

TEN — combinations

0 lean TEN · 251 lean against

Read this first. 270 combinations shown. The best one here is 50%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 72% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
as a favorite + spread 1-2.5	20-20	50%from 43%	-3.5	0/40	n=40
+ outdoors	18-18	50%from 50%	-3.7	0/36	n=36
+ on grass	15-16	48%from 50%	-3.1	0/31	n=31
+ at this venue	10-11	48%from 50%	-4.7	0/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 50%	-6.0	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	10-11	48%from 50%	-4.7	0/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 48%	-6.7	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	15-17	47%from 50%	-3.2	0/32	n=32
+ at this venue	10-11	48%from 47%	-4.7	0/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 47%	-5.5	0/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 50%	-4.7	0/9	n=9
+ in the Sunday early window	12-16	43%from 50%	-4.5	0/28	n=28
+ outdoors	11-15	42%from 43%	-4.6	0/26	n=26
+ on grass	9-13	41%from 43%	-3.7	0/22	n=22
+ at this venue	6-9	40%from 43%	-5.9	0/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 43%	-6.0	0/8	n=8
+ in September	2-5	29%from 43%	-5.6	0/7	n=7
+ in September	3-6	33%from 50%	-5.6	0/9	n=9
+ at this venue	2-3	40%from 33%	-8.9	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-6	33%from 33%	-5.6	0/9	n=9
+ on grass	3-6	33%from 33%	-5.6	0/9	n=9
spread 1-2.5 + in the last 5 seasons	9-10	47%from 45%	-0.3	0/19	n=19
in September + on grass	30-34	47%from 48%	-0.6	0/64	n=64
+ at this venue	18-22	45%from 47%	-1.9	0/40	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-6	25%from 45%	-9.0	0/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-8	33%from 47%	-6.1	0/12	n=12

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.