NE at SEASEA -3.5o/u 44.5

ST Model SEA -8(+4.5 vs market)

Since first recorded SEA -40.5 → NEo/u 44.5flat49d ago · 9 books · 5 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

NE — the basics

455 graded games since 1999

on the road	127-93	58%	+3.3	9/220	n=220
vs SEA	3-5	38%	-3.3	1/8	n=8
as an underdog	70-54	56%	+3.6	7/124	n=124
spread 3.5-6.5	86-54	61%	+3.0	8/140	n=140
in September	43-42	51%	+1.1	4/85	n=85
outdoors	232-176	57%	+2.8	20/408	n=408
on turf	154-110	58%	+3.9	15/264	n=264
under this head coach	14-7	67%	+5.3	21/21	n=21
in the last 5 seasons	43-44	49%	+1.3	21/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NE — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +5.3 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 455 graded games: +2.8 pts vs their number per game	n=455
NE has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

NE — combinations

67 lean NE · 33 lean against

Read this first. 120 combinations shown. The best one here is 78%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on the road + under this head coach	7-2	78%from 58%	+7.2	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 78%	+7.2	9/9	n=9
spread 3.5-6.5 + in September	21-8	72%from 61%	+6.5	1/29	n=29
+ on turf	15-5	75%from 72%	+7.5	1/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 75%	+2.8	1/6	n=6
+ outdoors	20-8	71%from 72%	+6.3	1/28	n=28
+ on turf	14-5	74%from 71%	+7.4	1/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 71%	+2.8	1/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 72%	+2.8	1/6	n=6
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	14-7	67%from 67%	+5.3	21/21	n=21
on turf + under this head coach	10-5	67%from 58%	+6.0	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-5	67%from 67%	+6.0	15/15	n=15
outdoors + under this head coach	13-7	65%from 57%	+5.5	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-7	65%from 65%	+5.5	20/20	n=20
spread 3.5-6.5 + outdoors	79-45	64%from 61%	+3.6	7/124	n=124
+ on turf	46-26	64%from 64%	+4.4	3/72	n=72
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-12	37%from 64%	-2.2	3/19	n=19
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 64%	+5.1	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	+5.1	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-16	43%from 64%	-0.5	7/28	n=28
on the road + on turf	65-39	63%from 58%	+5.0	4/104	n=104
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 63%	+0.7	4/21	n=21
spread 3.5-6.5 + under this head coach	5-3	63%from 61%	+4.8	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 63%	+4.8	8/8	n=8
spread 3.5-6.5 + on turf	53-32	62%from 61%	+3.6	4/85	n=85
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-13	41%from 62%	-2.8	4/22	n=22

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

SEA — the basics

436 graded games since 1999

at home	117-100	54%	+1.6	19/217	n=217
vs NE	5-3	63%	+3.3	2/8	n=8
as a favorite	126-123	51%	+1.6	23/249	n=249
spread 3.5-6.5	71-71	50%	+1.2	12/142	n=142
in September	45-41	52%	+1.6	8/86	n=86
outdoors	187-174	52%	+1.0	30/361	n=361
on turf	156-139	53%	+1.7	26/295	n=295
at this venue	110-91	55%	+1.6	19/201	n=201
under this head coach	21-16	57%	+4.5	37/37	n=37
in the last 5 seasons	45-42	52%	+2.1	37/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SEA — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +7.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 436 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=436
SEA has covered 5 straight	n=5

SEA — combinations

110 lean SEA · 103 lean against

Read this first. 241 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs NE + on turf	4-1	80%from 63%	+4.8	1/5	n=5
vs NE + outdoors	5-2	71%from 63%	+4.1	2/7	n=7
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 71%	+4.8	1/5	n=5
at home + in September	30-15	67%from 54%	+4.9	4/45	n=45
+ outdoors	30-15	67%from 67%	+4.9	4/45	n=45
+ on turf	30-15	67%from 67%	+4.9	4/45	n=45
+ at this venue	28-14	67%from 67%	+5.6	4/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 67%	+1.6	4/9	n=9
+ on turf	30-15	67%from 67%	+4.9	4/45	n=45
+ at this venue	28-14	67%from 67%	+5.6	4/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 67%	+1.6	4/9	n=9
+ at this venue	28-14	67%from 67%	+5.6	4/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 67%	+1.6	4/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 67%	+1.6	4/9	n=9
in September + at this venue	28-14	67%from 52%	+5.6	4/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 67%	+1.6	4/9	n=9
as a favorite + under this head coach	14-9	61%from 51%	+6.0	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-9	61%from 61%	+6.0	23/23	n=23
in September + on turf	34-22	61%from 52%	+3.6	6/56	n=56
+ at this venue	28-14	67%from 61%	+5.6	4/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 67%	+1.6	4/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-8	43%from 61%	+0.6	6/14	n=14
+ under this head coach	2-4	33%from 61%	+4.8	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 33%	+4.8	6/6	n=6
vs NE + spread 3.5-6.5	3-2	60%from 63%	+2.0	2/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 60%	+2.0	2/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.