MIA at LVLV -3.5o/u 40.5

ST Model MIA -1.1(-4.6 vs market)

Since first recorded LV -30.5 → LVo/u 40.5flat49d ago · 9 books · 6 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

MIA — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-104	50%	-0.3	0/210	n=210
vs LV	10-5	67%	+4.1	0/15	n=15
as an underdog	121-121	50%	+0.2	0/242	n=242
spread 3.5-6.5	67-71	49%	-1.3	0/138	n=138
in the Sunday late window	42-29	59%	+1.4	0/71	n=71
in September	41-46	47%	-1.6	0/87	n=87
indoors	21-19	53%	+0.8	0/40	n=40
on grass	148-156	49%	-0.1	0/304	n=304
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	0/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

MIA — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=419

MIA — combinations

66 lean MIA · 34 lean against

Read this first. 127 combinations shown. The best one here is 90%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 82% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in the Sunday late window + indoors	9-1	90%from 59%	+5.0	0/10	n=10
vs LV + in September	5-1	83%from 67%	+4.8	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 83%	+4.8	0/6	n=6
vs LV + as an underdog	4-1	80%from 67%	+8.8	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 80%	+8.8	0/5	n=5
vs LV + on grass	10-5	67%from 67%	+4.1	0/15	n=15
on the road + vs LV	4-2	67%from 50%	+6.7	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 67%	+6.7	0/6	n=6
spread 3.5-6.5 + indoors	7-4	64%from 49%	-2.1	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 64%	-1.3	0/6	n=6
in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 59%	+0.1	0/11	n=11
on the road + in the Sunday late window	31-18	63%from 50%	+2.3	0/49	n=49
+ indoors	9-1	90%from 63%	+5.0	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	18-12	60%from 63%	+2.9	0/30	n=30
+ in September	6-5	55%from 63%	-2.0	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	3-3	50%from 55%	-3.3	0/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 63%	-3.6	0/8	n=8
indoors + in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 53%	+2.1	0/10	n=10
as an underdog + in the Sunday late window	29-20	59%from 50%	+2.1	0/49	n=49
+ indoors	9-1	90%from 59%	+5.0	0/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 59%	-1.5	0/9	n=9
+ on grass	17-14	55%from 59%	+2.6	0/31	n=31
+ in September	6-6	50%from 59%	-2.9	0/12	n=12
+ on grass	3-4	43%from 50%	-4.6	0/7	n=7
as an underdog + indoors	17-13	57%from 50%	+0.9	0/30	n=30
+ on grass	4-2	67%from 57%	-1.5	0/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 57%	+2.2	0/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

LV — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	95-116	45%	-1.6	0/211	n=211
vs MIA	5-10	33%	-4.1	0/15	n=15
as a favorite	63-79	44%	-2.0	0/142	n=142
spread 3.5-6.5	62-70	47%	-1.8	0/132	n=132
in the Sunday late window	102-118	46%	-1.1	0/220	n=220
in September	42-44	49%	-1.1	0/86	n=86
indoors	48-43	53%	-2.2	0/91	n=91
on grass	167-179	48%	-0.9	0/346	n=346
at this venue	27-23	54%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
in the last 5 seasons	41-43	49%	-1.7	0/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LV — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -7.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -1.6 pts vs their number per game	n=419

LV — combinations

80 lean LV · 158 lean against

Read this first. 253 combinations shown. The best one here is 58%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 79% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
indoors + on grass	32-24	57%from 53%	-0.4	0/56	n=56
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 57%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
+ at this venue	27-23	54%from 57%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
as a favorite + at this venue	13-10	57%from 44%	+2.1	0/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 57%	+1.6	0/21	n=21
in the Sunday late window + in the last 5 seasons	23-18	56%from 46%	-0.5	0/41	n=41
at home + in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 45%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
at home + indoors	27-23	54%from 45%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
+ on grass	27-23	54%from 54%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
+ at this venue	27-23	54%from 54%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ at this venue	27-23	54%from 54%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
at home + at this venue	27-23	54%from 45%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
indoors + at this venue	27-23	54%from 53%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
on grass + at this venue	27-23	54%from 48%	-1.0	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	23-19	55%from 54%	-1.0	0/42	n=42
in the Sunday late window + indoors	24-21	53%from 46%	-1.5	0/45	n=45
+ on grass	21-17	55%from 53%	-1.3	0/38	n=38
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-14	55%from 55%	-1.4	0/31	n=31
+ at this venue	18-17	51%from 55%	-1.7	0/35	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-17	53%from 53%	-1.3	0/36	n=36
+ at this venue	18-17	51%from 53%	-1.7	0/35	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-14	55%from 51%	-1.4	0/31	n=31

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.