CLE at JAXJAX -7.5o/u 40.5

ST Model JAX -11.6(+4.1 vs market)

Since first recorded JAX -7.5o/u 40.5unchanged · 49d ago · 9 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

CLE — the basics

415 graded games since 1999

on the road	94-117	45%	-2.0	0/211	n=211
vs JAX	7-9	44%	-2.9	0/16	n=16
as an underdog	135-159	46%	-1.4	0/294	n=294
spread 7-9.5	38-42	48%	-0.4	0/80	n=80
in the Sunday early window	133-171	44%	-2.0	0/304	n=304
in September	45-42	52%	-0.4	0/87	n=87
outdoors	171-211	45%	-2.0	0/382	n=382
on grass	148-172	46%	-1.9	0/320	n=320
at this venue	4-4	50%	-2.6	0/8	n=8
in the last 5 seasons	36-48	43%	-2.2	0/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CLE — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 415 graded games: -1.8 pts vs their number per game	n=415
CLE has covered 3 straight	n=3

CLE — combinations

76 lean CLE · 109 lean against

Read this first. 219 combinations shown. The best one here is 88%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 7-9.5 + in September	10-2	83%from 48%	+7.3	0/12	n=12
+ outdoors	9-2	82%from 83%	+7.0	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	9-2	82%from 82%	+7.0	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	9-2	82%from 83%	+7.0	0/11	n=11
spread 7-9.5 + in the last 5 seasons	9-4	69%from 48%	+2.5	0/13	n=13
as an underdog + at this venue	4-2	67%from 46%	+1.2	0/6	n=6
as an underdog + in September	36-27	57%from 46%	+0.5	0/63	n=63
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 57%	+3.3	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	29-17	63%from 57%	+1.7	0/46	n=46
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 63%	+3.1	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	33-25	57%from 57%	+0.4	0/58	n=58
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-1	86%from 57%	+5.8	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	29-17	63%from 57%	+1.7	0/46	n=46
in September + on grass	36-31	54%from 52%	-0.1	0/67	n=67
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 54%	+0.8	0/14	n=14
in September + in the last 5 seasons	9-8	53%from 52%	+0.7	0/17	n=17
in the Sunday early window + in September	34-31	52%from 44%	-0.2	0/65	n=65
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 52%	+2.9	0/12	n=12
+ on grass	27-23	54%from 52%	+0.3	0/50	n=50
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 54%	+2.6	0/10	n=10
+ outdoors	30-29	51%from 52%	-0.4	0/59	n=59
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 51%	+4.4	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	27-23	54%from 51%	+0.3	0/50	n=50
in September + outdoors	41-39	51%from 52%	-0.6	0/80	n=80
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-6	60%from 51%	+2.2	0/15	n=15
+ on grass	36-30	55%from 51%	-0.0	0/66	n=66
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 55%	+1.3	0/13	n=13

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

JAX — the basics

418 graded games since 1999

at home	96-113	46%	-0.3	10/209	n=209
vs CLE	9-7	56%	+2.9	0/16	n=16
as a favorite	66-82	45%	-0.8	10/148	n=148
spread 7-9.5	36-37	49%	-1.3	0/73	n=73
in the Sunday early window	145-155	48%	-0.2	13/300	n=300
in September	43-44	49%	-1.6	4/87	n=87
outdoors	171-188	48%	-0.8	14/359	n=359
on grass	152-170	47%	-0.6	15/322	n=322
at this venue	90-108	45%	-0.5	10/198	n=198
under this head coach	12-6	67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	46-41	53%	+0.2	18/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

JAX — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 418 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=418

JAX — combinations

116 lean JAX · 180 lean against

Read this first. 331 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on grass + under this head coach	11-4	73%from 47%	+7.7	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-4	73%from 73%	+7.7	15/15	n=15
outdoors + under this head coach	10-4	71%from 48%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
at home + under this head coach	7-3	70%from 46%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
as a favorite + under this head coach	7-3	70%from 45%	+5.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+5.8	10/10	n=10
at this venue + under this head coach	7-3	70%from 45%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
vs CLE + in the Sunday early window	8-5	62%from 56%	+3.4	0/13	n=13
+ outdoors	8-5	62%from 62%	+3.4	0/13	n=13
+ on grass	8-5	62%from 62%	+3.4	0/13	n=13
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 62%	+3.5	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	8-5	62%from 62%	+3.4	0/13	n=13
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 62%	+3.5	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-2	60%from 62%	+3.5	0/5	n=5
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	8-5	62%from 48%	+6.0	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 62%	+6.0	13/13	n=13
vs CLE + spread 7-9.5	3-2	60%from 56%	-1.8	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.8	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.8	0/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 60%	-1.8	0/5	n=5
vs CLE + outdoors	9-7	56%from 56%	+2.9	0/16	n=16
+ on grass	9-7	56%from 56%	+2.9	0/16	n=16
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 56%	+2.6	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	4-4	50%from 56%	+2.6	0/8	n=8

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.