BAL at INDBAL -3.5o/u 48.5

ST Model IND -2.7(+6.2 vs market)

Since first recorded BAL -3.5o/u 48.5unchanged · 49d ago · 9 books · 2 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

BAL — the basics

439 graded games since 1999

on the road	122-102	54%	+1.7	0/224	n=224
vs IND	4-12	25%	-4.6	0/16	n=16
as a favorite	148-139	52%	+2.5	0/287	n=287
spread 3.5-6.5	70-68	51%	+1.5	0/138	n=138
in the Sunday early window	137-120	53%	+2.7	0/257	n=257
in September	45-40	53%	+2.1	0/85	n=85
on turf	97-89	52%	+2.6	0/186	n=186
in the last 5 seasons	44-44	50%	+1.3	0/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=439

BAL — combinations

53 lean BAL · 30 lean against

Read this first. 99 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	15-5	75%from 52%	+3.9	0/20	n=20
in the Sunday early window + in September	30-21	59%from 53%	+3.5	0/51	n=51
+ on turf	17-9	65%from 59%	+6.2	0/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 65%	+4.9	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 59%	+0.7	0/9	n=9
as a favorite + on turf	68-48	59%from 52%	+4.5	0/116	n=116
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-4	76%from 59%	+4.9	0/17	n=17
in September + on turf	24-17	59%from 53%	+5.0	0/41	n=41
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 59%	+3.4	0/7	n=7
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	24-19	56%from 54%	+2.0	0/43	n=43
on the road + in the Sunday early window	64-53	55%from 54%	+1.8	0/117	n=117
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 55%	+1.1	0/19	n=19
+ in September	11-11	50%from 55%	+0.8	0/22	n=22
+ on turf	6-5	55%from 50%	+3.3	0/11	n=11
+ on turf	23-24	49%from 55%	+0.7	0/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 49%	+2.6	0/11	n=11
as a favorite + in the Sunday early window	99-84	54%from 52%	+3.5	0/183	n=183
+ on turf	47-31	60%from 54%	+4.8	0/78	n=78
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-2	80%from 60%	+4.1	0/10	n=10
+ in September	25-17	60%from 54%	+3.5	0/42	n=42
+ on turf	14-7	67%from 60%	+6.6	0/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 60%	0.0	0/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-20	46%from 54%	+2.3	0/37	n=37
spread 3.5-6.5 + on turf	29-25	54%from 51%	+3.3	0/54	n=54
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 54%	+5.8	0/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

IND — the basics

437 graded games since 1999

at home	112-108	51%	+0.8	26/220	n=220
vs BAL	12-4	75%	+4.6	1/16	n=16
as an underdog	87-80	52%	-0.9	28/167	n=167
spread 3.5-6.5	80-66	55%	-0.2	19/146	n=146
in the Sunday early window	131-133	50%	+0.4	40/264	n=264
in September	48-36	57%	+1.7	11/84	n=84
on turf	153-137	53%	+0.9	37/290	n=290
at this venue	76-73	51%	+0.6	26/149	n=149
under this head coach	27-24	53%	+0.2	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	43-42	51%	-0.5	51/85	n=85

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

IND — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 437 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=437

IND — combinations

131 lean IND · 87 lean against

Read this first. 246 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs BAL + on turf	9-3	75%from 75%	+5.0	0/12	n=12
in September + under this head coach	8-3	73%from 57%	+4.9	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 73%	+4.9	11/11	n=11
vs BAL + as an underdog	5-2	71%from 75%	+3.1	1/7	n=7
at home + vs BAL	4-2	67%from 51%	+3.7	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	4-2	67%from 67%	+3.7	0/6	n=6
in September + in the last 5 seasons	10-7	59%from 57%	+0.9	11/17	n=17
in September + on turf	31-22	58%from 57%	+2.1	8/53	n=53
+ under this head coach	6-2	75%from 58%	+4.7	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-2	75%from 75%	+4.7	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 58%	+2.5	8/12	n=12
+ at this venue	17-15	53%from 58%	+0.1	6/32	n=32
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 53%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 53%	+3.4	6/9	n=9
at home + in September	26-19	58%from 51%	+1.7	6/45	n=45
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 58%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 58%	+3.4	6/9	n=9
+ on turf	26-19	58%from 58%	+1.7	6/45	n=45
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 58%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 58%	+3.4	6/9	n=9
+ at this venue	17-15	53%from 58%	+0.1	6/32	n=32
+ at this venue	17-15	53%from 58%	+0.1	6/32	n=32
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 53%	+5.2	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 53%	+3.4	6/9	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.