ATL at PITPIT -3o/u 41.5

ST Model PIT -2.7(-0.3 vs market)

Since first recorded PIT -3o/u 41.5unchanged · 49d ago · 9 books · 1 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 1

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

ATL — the basics

426 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-106	50%	-0.2	23/212	n=212
vs PIT	2-5	29%	-4.9	1/7	n=7
as an underdog	103-110	48%	-0.7	25/213	n=213
spread 3	27-37	42%	-2.7	4/64	n=64
in the Sunday early window	126-156	45%	-1.6	29/282	n=282
in September	46-43	52%	+0.4	8/89	n=89
outdoors	85-82	51%	+0.0	13/167	n=167
on grass	62-62	50%	+0.3	13/124	n=124
under this head coach	21-24	47%	-0.9	45/45	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	34-49	41%	-2.8	34/83	n=83

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ATL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=426

ATL — combinations

63 lean ATL · 72 lean against

Read this first. 174 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
as an underdog + in September	27-21	56%from 48%	+1.6	4/48	n=48
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 56%	+2.5	4/10	n=10
+ outdoors	14-11	56%from 56%	+1.5	1/25	n=25
+ on grass	8-8	50%from 56%	+0.7	1/16	n=16
+ on grass	8-8	50%from 56%	+0.7	1/16	n=16
spread 3 + in September	10-8	56%from 42%	+2.5	1/18	n=18
+ outdoors	4-3	57%from 56%	+8.1	0/7	n=7
outdoors + under this head coach	7-6	54%from 51%	-3.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 54%	-4.9	10/10	n=10
on grass + under this head coach	7-6	54%from 50%	-3.3	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 54%	-3.9	11/11	n=11
as an underdog + outdoors	56-50	53%from 48%	-0.1	9/106	n=106
+ under this head coach	5-4	56%from 53%	-1.7	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 56%	-3.8	6/6	n=6
+ on grass	37-35	51%from 53%	+0.2	7/72	n=72
+ under this head coach	3-4	43%from 51%	-3.9	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-8	38%from 51%	-3.5	5/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-12	45%from 53%	-1.6	6/22	n=22
outdoors + on grass	60-54	53%from 51%	+0.7	10/114	n=114
+ under this head coach	5-5	50%from 53%	-4.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-4	50%from 50%	-5.9	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-12	45%from 53%	-3.7	8/22	n=22
on the road + outdoors	77-70	52%from 50%	+0.4	13/147	n=147
+ under this head coach	7-6	54%from 52%	-3.1	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 54%	-4.9	10/10	n=10
+ on grass	59-54	52%from 52%	+0.7	10/113	n=113
+ under this head coach	5-5	50%from 52%	-4.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-12	43%from 52%	-4.0	8/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	13-15	46%from 52%	-3.4	10/28	n=28

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

PIT — the basics

440 graded games since 1999

at home	123-100	55%	+1.7	0/223	n=223
vs ATL	5-2	71%	+4.9	0/7	n=7
as a favorite	142-147	49%	+0.4	0/289	n=289
spread 3	44-33	57%	+1.9	0/77	n=77
in the Sunday early window	127-95	57%	+1.7	0/222	n=222
in September	38-47	45%	-1.2	0/85	n=85
outdoors	218-188	54%	+1.0	0/406	n=406
on grass	150-130	54%	+1.3	0/280	n=280
at this venue	117-97	55%	+1.7	0/214	n=214
in the last 5 seasons	48-39	55%	-0.3	0/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PIT — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 440 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=440

PIT — combinations

147 lean PIT · 60 lean against

Read this first. 234 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 82% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs ATL + in the Sunday early window	5-2	71%from 71%	+4.9	0/7	n=7
spread 3 + in the Sunday early window	21-13	62%from 57%	+3.1	0/34	n=34
+ at this venue	8-3	73%from 62%	+5.8	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	13-7	65%from 62%	+4.6	0/20	n=20
+ at this venue	8-2	80%from 65%	+7.1	0/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 65%	+2.4	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 62%	-0.9	0/8	n=8
+ outdoors	19-13	59%from 62%	+2.8	0/32	n=32
+ at this venue	8-3	73%from 59%	+5.8	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	13-7	65%from 59%	+4.6	0/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 59%	-0.9	0/8	n=8
+ in September	3-3	50%from 62%	0.0	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	3-3	50%from 50%	0.0	0/6	n=6
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	26-17	60%from 57%	-0.1	0/43	n=43
spread 3 + on grass	29-19	60%from 57%	+3.4	0/48	n=48
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-5	67%from 60%	+1.9	0/15	n=15
+ at this venue	16-9	64%from 60%	+4.2	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 64%	+0.6	0/11	n=11
vs ATL + as a favorite	3-2	60%from 71%	+3.1	0/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday early window	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.1	0/5	n=5
in the Sunday early window + on grass	84-60	58%from 57%	+2.3	0/144	n=144
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-11	63%from 58%	+1.4	0/30	n=30
+ at this venue	48-36	57%from 58%	+1.8	0/84	n=84
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-8	64%from 57%	+1.1	0/22	n=22
at home + in the last 5 seasons	25-18	58%from 55%	+0.3	0/43	n=43

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.