NBA 2026-27 Playoff Odds
Forward projected records & playoff odds — Monte-Carlo over a balanced schedule from current-roster player projections blended with last season's ratings. Updates as players are traded, drafted & signed.
Championship Favorites
Projected Playoff Bracket
favorite advances · series win %
Eastern Conference
top 8 make playoffs
| # | Team | PROJ | W | PLYF | CONF | CHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOSBoston Celtics | 51-31 | 5146–57 | 99% | 25% | 14% |
| 2 | NYKNew York Knicks | 50-32 | 5044–56 | 98% | 24% | 13% |
| 3 | ATLAtlanta Hawks | 48-34 | 4842–54 | 95% | 13% | 6% |
| 4 | CLECleveland Cavaliers | 47-35 | 4741–54 | 94% | 12% | 6% |
| 5 | DETDetroit Pistons | 46-36 | 4640–51 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| 6 | CHACharlotte Hornets | 45-37 | 4540–51 | 87% | 6% | 3% |
| 7 | MIAMiami Heat | 44-38 | 4438–50 | 77% | 5% | 2% |
| 8 | ORLOrlando Magic | 42-40 | 4236–48 | 66% | 3% | 1% |
| 9 | PHIPhiladelphia 76ers | 41-41 | 4135–47 | 50% | 2% | 1% |
| 10 | TORToronto Raptors | 38-44 | 3832–43 | 25% | 1% | <1% |
| 11 | MILMilwaukee Bucks | 36-46 | 3631–42 | 13% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 | CHIChicago Bulls | 34-48 | 3427–40 | 5% | <1% | 0% |
| 13 | INDIndiana Pacers | 32-50 | 3226–38 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 | WASWashington Wizards | 27-56 | 2722–32 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | BKNBrooklyn Nets | 24-58 | 2418–30 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Western Conference
top 8 make playoffs
| # | Team | PROJ | W | PLYF | CONF | CHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SASSan Antonio Spurs | 56-26 | 5650–62 | >99% | 42% | 23% |
| 2 | HOUHouston Rockets | 52-30 | 5247–58 | >99% | 17% | 8% |
| 3 | OKCOklahoma City Thunder | 52-30 | 5247–58 | 99% | 20% | 10% |
| 4 | DENDenver Nuggets | 51-32 | 5144–56 | 99% | 11% | 5% |
| 5 | PORPortland Trail Blazers | 47-35 | 4741–54 | 93% | 6% | 3% |
| 6 | MINMinnesota Timberwolves | 44-38 | 4438–50 | 78% | 2% | 1% |
| 7 | LALLos Angeles Lakers | 44-38 | 4438–49 | 76% | 1% | 1% |
| 8 | NOPNew Orleans Pelicans | 41-41 | 4135–47 | 53% | 1% | <1% |
| 9 | PHXPhoenix Suns | 40-42 | 4034–47 | 44% | 1% | <1% |
| 10 | DALDallas Mavericks | 38-44 | 3832–43 | 23% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | UTAUtah Jazz | 37-45 | 3731–43 | 21% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 | LACLA Clippers | 34-48 | 3429–41 | 7% | <1% | 0% |
| 13 | GSWGolden State Warriors | 33-49 | 3327–39 | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 14 | SACSacramento Kings | 33-49 | 3326–39 | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | MEMMemphis Grizzlies | 24-58 | 2419–30 | <1% | 0% | 0% |