MLB Projections · HR

2025 season · projected (median) · pitchers · per ~700 BF (role-blind v1)

TypeBatters PitchersStatSO BB HR Hits ERSeason2026 2025 2024

Top 100

2025 proj

#	Player	Pos	Tm	SO	BB	HR ↓	H	ER
1	Lucas Giolito	P	SD	168	63	28	157	83
2	Michael Mercado	P	PHI	159	66	28	149	83
3	Tanner Gordon	P	COL	136	43	28	184	92
4	Bruce Zimmermann	P	MIL	136	40	27	167	80
5	Roddery Muñoz	P	HOU	147	61	27	153	79
6	Kaleb Ort	P	HOU	156	57	27	152	75
7	Joe Ryan	P	MIN	184	40	27	153	73
8	Patrick Corbin	P	TOR	119	52	27	179	89
9	Nick Pivetta	P	SD	183	52	27	150	72
10	Griffin Canning	P	SD	147	59	27	161	83
11	Austin Gomber	P	COL	114	47	27	178	91
12	JP Sears	P	SD	136	51	27	164	82
13	Louis Varland	P	TOR	157	50	27	168	85
14	Tyler Alexander	P	TEX	140	40	27	166	83
15	Kyle Freeland	P	COL	113	47	27	177	86
16	Eric Lauer	P	LAD	155	62	27	154	80
17	Kenta Maeda	P	DET	155	53	27	165	82
18	Grant Anderson	P	MIL	160	64	27	153	85
19	Colin Rea	P	CHC	134	45	27	164	81
20	Tyler Wells	P	BAL	151	54	27	148	84
21	Luis Severino	P	ATH	146	56	26	158	80
22	Slade Cecconi	P	CLE	139	41	26	169	88
23	Carson Spiers	P	CIN	140	53	26	171	88
24	Landon Knack	P	LAD	160	51	26	152	79
25	Max Scherzer	P	TOR	170	46	26	153	72
26	Jake Irvin	P	WSH	140	57	26	162	82
27	Bailey Ober	P	MIN	175	40	26	147	71
28	Carlos Carrasco	P	ATL	135	54	26	167	83
29	Kolby Allard	P	CLE	152	57	26	169	86
30	Bryse Wilson	P	PHI	139	50	26	162	74
31	Brandon Pfaadt	P	AZ	157	44	26	164	80
32	Connor Seabold	P	KC	126	52	26	176	90
33	Valente Bellozo	P	COL	126	51	26	166	82
34	Rico Garcia	P	BAL	143	62	26	155	80
35	Carlos Rodón	P	NYY	173	57	26	150	81
36	Chris Flexen	P	CHC	121	63	26	168	89
37	Tyler Phillips	P	MIA	143	41	26	165	83
38	Keider Montero	P	DET	145	54	26	163	83
39	Connor Phillips	P	CIN	170	76	26	153	82
40	Trevor Williams	P	WSH	141	49	26	165	78
41	Jameson Taillon	P	CHC	135	42	26	165	80
42	Michael Kopech	P	LAD	184	92	26	136	77
43	Caden Dana	P	LAA	149	61	25	143	84
44	Shota Imanaga	P	CHC	158	36	25	156	67
45	Dane Dunning	P	ATL	142	60	25	160	80
46	Yusei Kikuchi	P	LAA	180	49	25	153	72
47	Eury Pérez	P	MIA	190	55	25	146	71
48	Erasmo Ramírez	P	MIN	130	48	25	162	77
49	José Berríos	P	TOR	149	50	25	165	78
50	Darren McCaughan	P	MIN	124	54	25	166	86
51	Aaron Civale	P	ATH	152	53	25	158	75
52	Ben Lively	P	CLE	134	50	25	165	82
53	Emmet Sheehan	P	LAD	168	64	25	147	80
54	Andrew Heaney	P	LAD	155	49	25	157	77
55	Luke Weaver	P	NYM	179	52	25	157	79
56	Bailey Falter	P	KC	131	50	25	170	83
57	Corbin Martin	P	CHC	151	70	25	149	80
58	Chris Devenski	P	PIT	151	54	25	147	76
59	José Urquidy	P	PIT	135	53	25	160	84
60	Max Meyer	P	MIA	143	54	25	164	81
61	Will Warren	P	NYY	163	60	25	164	89
62	Génesis Cabrera	P	MIN	147	69	25	151	72
63	Justin Wrobleski	P	LAD	141	62	25	157	83
64	Mike Clevinger	P	CWS	133	57	25	154	80
65	Freddy Peralta	P	NYM	186	61	25	144	75
66	Tommy Henry	P	AZ	131	64	25	159	83
67	Logan Allen	P	CLE	148	62	24	164	81
68	Matt Waldron	P	SD	147	51	24	160	81
69	Jason Alexander	P	HOU	124	56	24	169	87
70	Aaron Nola	P	PHI	172	42	24	158	75
71	Hayden Birdsong	P	SF	183	82	24	144	79
72	Quinn Priester	P	MIL	126	58	24	167	83
73	Miles Mikolas	P	WSH	114	32	24	175	85
74	Shaun Anderson	P	LAA	118	41	24	180	91
75	Jesse Scholtens	P	TB	129	54	24	167	86
76	Bowden Francis	P	TOR	157	41	24	148	70
77	Tony Gonsolin	P	LAD	149	57	24	147	75
78	Bryan Woo	P	SEA	155	42	24	155	71
79	Joey Cantillo	P	CLE	176	60	24	157	80
80	David Festa	P	MIN	179	58	24	154	81
81	Taijuan Walker	P	PHI	128	59	24	161	82
82	Paul Sewald	P	AZ	184	58	24	140	68
83	Freddy Tarnok	P	MIA	166	65	24	141	71
84	Ronel Blanco	P	HOU	162	71	24	140	71
85	Ryan Weathers	P	NYY	141	61	24	163	82
86	Cade Povich	P	BAL	143	64	24	162	85
87	Sean Burke	P	CWS	172	59	24	150	77
88	Taj Bradley	P	MIN	183	60	24	156	81
89	Dietrich Enns	P	BAL	156	61	24	161	82
90	Eduardo Rodríguez	P	AZ	142	58	24	160	76
91	JT Brubaker	P	SF	154	57	24	160	79
92	Jake Woodford	P	MIL	124	51	24	170	88
93	Spencer Bivens	P	SF	147	49	24	161	74
94	Luis Castillo	P	SEA	170	52	24	152	71
95	Jordan Wicks	P	CHC	142	62	24	161	81
96	Nick Sandlin	P	LAA	180	70	24	130	73
97	Bryan Hoeing	P	SD	144	55	24	157	78
98	Andrew Abbott	P	CIN	152	64	24	159	79
99	Logan Gilbert	P	SEA	174	38	24	148	68
100	Sawyer Gipson-Long	P	DET	178	63	24	145	78