Pro Baseball Terminal — MLB projections, standings & analytics

Nate Pearson

P · HOU

29 yrs

Pitcher

Description

Position: P
Team: HOU
Type: Pitcher
Bats: Right
Throws: Right
Born: 1996-08-20
Age: 29
Country: USA
Height: 6'6"
Weight: 255 lb
Last active: 2026

Career Résumé

6 seasons

Seasons	6 2020–2026
Games	132
W-L	10-6
ERA	5.11
WHIP	1.45
IP	167
SO	170
SV	4

Pitching Projections

2026 · per ~700 BF

Stat	Proj	Range (p10–p90)	vs LY
SO	153	129–184	-3
BB	60	47–79	-2
HR	24	15–34	-1
Hits	159	134–176	-2
ER	91	62–97	+4

Pitching

Regular season

Season	Tm	W	L	ERA	WHIP	G	GS	SV	IP	SO	BB	HR	ER	xERA	Brl%
2026	HOU	1	0	4.22	1.41	9	0	1	10.2	10	4	1	5	4.58	9.8%
2025	CHC	0	1	9.20	2.18	11	0	0	14.2	7	10	2	15	6.08	7.0%
2024	CHC	2	2	4.48	1.33	60	1	2	66.1	74	21	12	33	4.49	10.2%
2023	TOR	5	2	4.85	1.27	35	0	1	42.2	43	18	7	23	3.90	8.5%
2021	TOR	1	1	4.20	1.73	12	1	0	15.0	20	12	2	7	3.39	7.7%
2020	TOR	1	0	6.00	1.50	5	4	0	18.0	16	13	5	12	4.64	7.7%

Fielding

Regular season · OAA 2016+

Season	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
2026	P	8	0	9.2	0	1	1.000	0.93	—
2025	P	11	0	14.2	1	0	1.000	0.61	—
2024	P	60	1	66.1	1	0	1.000	0.14	—
2023	P	35	0	42.2	1	3	1.000	0.84	—
2021	P	12	1	15.0	0	0	—	0.00	—
2020	P	5	4	18.0	1	1	1.000	1.00	—

Batting game log

2026 · last 2

Date		Opp	Res	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB
2026-06-26	@	DET	L	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-06-20	vs	CLE	L	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Pitching game log

2026 · last 11

Date		Opp	Res	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	Pit
2026-06-26	@	DET	L	ND	3.0	1	0	0	0	2	1	48
2026-06-23	@	TOR	W	ND	1.0	1	2	0	0	1	2	21
2026-06-20	vs	CLE	L	ND	1.0	4	2	2	0	0	0	24
2026-06-14	@	KC	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	14
2026-06-12	@	KC	W	W	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	1	15
2026-06-07	vs	ATH	L	ND	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	2	33
2026-06-03	vs	PIT	W	ND	1.0	3	3	3	1	1	3	33
2026-05-31	vs	MIL	L	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	0	12
2026-05-28	@	TEX	W	ND	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	2	20
2026-05-24	@	CHC	W	S	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	0	20
2026-05-20	@	MIN	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11

Pitching Profile2024 · vs 402

K/9

10.078

BB/9

2.857

HR/9

1.610

ERA

4.4829

WHIP

1.3335

xERA

4.4926

Brl%A

10.2%9

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Career Highs

Stat	Best	Year
Wins	5	2023
SO	74	2024
SV	2	2024
ERA	4.20	2021
WHIP	1.27	2023

Comparable Players

2024 · stat-profile similarity

Emilio PagánCIN35y
4.50 ERA · 44 K · 1.34 WHIP
92%
vs
Seranthony DomínguezBAL31y
4.45 ERA · 68 K · 1.24 WHIP
90%
vs
José RuizPHI31y
3.71 ERA · 52 K · 1.33 WHIP
87%
vs
Paul SewaldAZ36y
4.31 ERA · 43 K · 1.13 WHIP
83%
vs
John BrebbiaATL36y
5.86 ERA · 67 K · 1.36 WHIP
82%
vs

Career Arc

ERA by season · taller = better

Year over Year

pitching trajectory

Yr	Tm	W	ERA	WHIP	SO	IP
20	TOR	1	6.00	1.50	16	18
21	TOR	1	4.20▼	1.73▲	20▲	15▼
23	TOR	5▲	4.85▲	1.27▼	43▲	43▲
24	CHC	2▼	4.48▼	1.33▲	74▲	66▲
25	CHC	0▼	9.20▲	2.18▲	7▼	15▼
26	HOU	1▲	4.22▼	1.41▼	10▲	11▼

Career Milestones

chase to the next mark

Wins10

40 to 50

Strikeouts170

830 to 1,000

Saves4

96 to 100

Season

Pitch Arsenal

2025 · Statcast

Pitch	Use	Velo	Spin
4-Seam	52%	97.6	2294
Slider	40%	89.5	2511
Curve	5%	83.2	2578
Sinker	3%	97.3	2201

Plate Discipline

2025 · induced

23.1%

Chase

lg 28.5%

64.0%

Z-Swing

lg 67%

18.9%

Whiff

lg 24.5%

81.1%

Contact

lg 76%

50.7%

Zone

lg 48.5%

24.7%

CSW

lg 28%

296 pitches · green/red vs league avg

Statcast Trend

xERA by season · taller = better

Barrel% Against by season · taller = better

Per game	3.7
Ceiling (90th)	7.9
Floor (10th)	-0.1
Std dev	3.8
Boom rate	36%
Bust rate	36%
Profile	Volatile