NHL Projections · Shots

Skaters · 2025-26 (model vs actual) · per-82-GP · XGBoost + Marcel
Projected leaders · Top 100
2025-26 P50
#PlayerPosTmPGASOG
1Jack HughesCNJD1014160340
2Nathan MacKinnonCCOL1253682330
3Brady TkachukLOTT693536326
4Auston MatthewsCTOR974551323
5David PastrnakRBOS1104559319
6Kirill KaprizovLMIN1004755292
7Zach WerenskiDCBJ731652277
8Matt BoldyLMIN733243268
9Matthew TkachukLFLA953356268
10Jack EichelCVGK913358266
11Filip ForsbergLNSH773543264
12Alex OvechkinLWSH643531261
13Kyle ConnorLWPG873750260
14Connor McDavidCEDM1264285259
15Macklin CelebriniCSJS702745256
16Tage ThompsonCBUF703932254
17Joel Eriksson EkCMIN622633254
18Nikita KucherovRTBL1233481253
19Cole CaufieldRMTL703336252
20Timo MeierRNJD602928247
21Carter VerhaegheCFLA582733245
22Nazem KadriCCOL622733243
23Leon DraisaitlCEDM1094268242
24Zach HymanLEDM573229241
25William NylanderRTOR784046238
26Gabriel LandeskogLCOL824148238
27Dougie HamiltonDNJD551639238
28Roman JosiDNSH591548237
29Sam BennettCFLA532727237
30Cale MakarDCOL952573235
31Jordan KyrouRSTL693336235
32Dylan GuentherRUTA673037235
33Dylan LarkinCDET713243232
34Adrian KempeRLAK693239230
35Mikko RantanenRDAL963952225
36Kevin FialaLLAK643036224
37Connor BedardCCHI732649224
38Bo HorvatCNYI643030224
39Jake GuentzelCTBL793745223
40Alex DeBrincatRDET632935223
41Valeri NichushkinRCOL673335222
42Tyler ToffoliCSJS542825222
43Seth JarvisRCAR683137221
44Rasmus DahlinDBUF691649221
45John TavaresCTOR673035220
46Frank VatranoRANA512623218
47Evan BouchardDEDM661548218
48Jason RobertsonLDAL813248218
49Brandon HagelLTBL803248216
50Artemi PanarinLLAK933359216
51Sidney CrosbyCPIT863153214
52Anders LeeLNYI422620212
53Kirill MarchenkoRCBJ612934212
54Andrei SvechnikovRCAR612436212
55Boone JennerCCBJ502525211
56Brandon MontourDSEA481234211
57Quinn HughesDMIN891573210
58Wyatt JohnstonCDAL672938210
59Martin NecasCCOL782945208
60Owen TippettRPHI472323207
61Noah DobsonDMTL501039206
62Bryan RustRPIT632834206
63Clayton KellerRUTA853552205
64Sebastian AhoCCAR793143205
65Mathew BarzalCNYI581944205
66Adam FantilliCCBJ532629204
67Nico HischierCNJD743243203
68Travis KonecnyRPHI742844203
69Matvei MichkovRPHI632638201
70Jonathan MarchessaultCNSH552426200
71Matt CoronatoRCGY442125200
72Sam ReinhartCFLA743637199
73Nikolaj EhlersLCAR592439197
74Tim StützleCOTT852756196
75JJ PeterkaRUTA602737195
76Dylan CozensCOTT512131194
77Cutter GauthierLANA532026194
78Logan StankovenCCAR421826193
79Brock NelsonCCOL562628191
80Patrik LaineRMTL492426191
81Lucas RaymondLDET772948190
82Brad MarchandLFLA552633190
83Jared McCannLSEA602632190
84Viktor ArvidssonLBOS411921189
85Drake BathersonROTT652440189
86Logan CooleyCUTA672642188
87Vincent TrocheckCNYR602336188
88Rickard RakellRPIT572432188
89Jakob ChychrunDWSH491730188
90Alex TuchRBUF642737188
91Tomas HertlCVGK572432187
92Brayden PointCTBL864242187
93Miro HeiskanenDDAL601049187
94Patrick KaneRDET612337187
95Troy TerryRANA582236186
96Alex LaferriereRLAK401721186
97Mason McTavishCANA532232186
98Jesper BrattLNJD802654185
99Tyler SeguinCDAL522528185
100Erik KarlssonDPIT531243184