NHL Projections · Shots

Skaters · 2023-24 (model vs actual) · per-82-GP · XGBoost + Marcel

PositionSkaters GoaliesStatPoints Goals Assists ShotsSeason2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Projected leaders · Top 100

2023-24 P50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	P	G	A	SOG ↓
1	Nathan MacKinnon	C	COL	117	43	77	376
2	Auston Matthews	C	TOR	105	53	53	359
3	David Pastrnak	R	BOS	98	47	57	354
4	Brady Tkachuk	L	OTT	78	36	40	353
5	Connor McDavid	C	EDM	128	56	81	347
6	Timo Meier	R	NJD	74	35	35	326
7	Jack Hughes	C	NJD	92	42	56	324
8	Alex Ovechkin	L	WSH	82	43	35	307
9	Mikko Rantanen	R	DAL	115	47	61	287
10	Kirill Kaprizov	L	MIN	100	45	48	283
11	Jason Robertson	L	DAL	97	43	61	278
12	Evander Kane	L	EDM	64	32	32	277
13	Matthew Tkachuk	L	FLA	103	33	65	275
14	Roman Josi	D	NSH	69	18	51	271
15	Kyle Connor	L	WPG	83	38	45	266
16	Nikolaj Ehlers	L	CAR	73	29	39	266
17	Cole Caufield	R	MTL	63	34	27	264
18	Nikita Kucherov	R	TBL	104	32	72	262
19	Aleksander Barkov	C	FLA	103	39	61	261
20	Filip Forsberg	L	NSH	81	34	46	260
21	Jack Eichel	C	VGK	72	30	46	259
22	William Nylander	R	TOR	82	33	44	256
23	Patrik Laine	R	MTL	74	31	40	255
24	Tage Thompson	C	BUF	66	31	33	254
25	Jake Guentzel	C	TBL	82	38	47	252
26	Matt Boldy	L	MIN	70	32	40	252
27	Cale Makar	D	COL	92	27	70	252
28	Alex DeBrincat	R	DET	73	34	36	251
29	Jakob Chychrun	D	WSH	53	17	34	251
30	Andrei Svechnikov	R	CAR	73	31	42	250
31	John Tavares	C	TOR	74	27	44	249
32	Sam Bennett	C	FLA	54	26	29	249
33	Nazem Kadri	C	COL	62	25	36	248
34	Jordan Kyrou	R	STL	75	32	41	247
35	Travis Konecny	R	PHI	68	32	40	246
36	Leon Draisaitl	C	EDM	121	48	75	243
37	Elias Pettersson	C	VAN	86	36	53	243
38	Viktor Arvidsson	L	BOS	55	25	31	242
39	Zach Hyman	L	EDM	71	30	40	241
40	Kevin Fiala	L	LAK	78	31	46	240
41	Dylan Larkin	C	DET	77	32	47	239
42	Jonathan Marchessault	C	NSH	58	27	33	238
43	Tyler Toffoli	C	SJS	61	26	33	235
44	Joel Eriksson Ek	C	MIN	58	28	34	235
45	Valeri Nichushkin	R	COL	63	27	37	233
46	Alex Tuch	R	BUF	74	31	43	231
47	Aaron Ekblad	D	FLA	57	18	39	231
48	Carter Verhaeghe	C	FLA	65	31	32	231
49	Zach Werenski	D	CBJ	55	14	39	230
50	Patrick Kane	R	DET	69	24	46	229
51	Drake Batherson	R	OTT	68	29	41	229
52	Sebastian Aho	C	CAR	79	37	42	229
53	Mitch Marner	R	VGK	112	34	71	228
54	Steven Stamkos	C	NSH	84	38	50	227
55	Cam Atkinson	R	TBL	46	25	24	227
56	Boone Jenner	C	CBJ	48	24	23	227
57	Mikael Backlund	C	CGY	48	16	28	226
58	Martin Necas	C	COL	64	26	41	226
59	Pierre-Luc Dubois	C	WSH	64	28	37	226
60	Jeff Skinner	L	EDM	66	31	37	225
61	Adrian Kempe	R	LAK	60	33	27	225
62	Jake DeBrusk	L	VAN	54	29	26	224
63	Clayton Keller	R	UTA	81	33	44	221
64	Bo Horvat	C	NYI	64	32	33	221
65	Tim Stützle	C	OTT	80	34	48	221
66	Owen Tippett	R	PHI	48	24	24	220
67	Mika Zibanejad	C	NYR	86	32	51	219
68	Brayden Point	C	TBL	86	42	45	219
69	Frank Vatrano	R	ANA	42	23	19	217
70	Jesper Bratt	L	NJD	75	27	44	217
71	Rickard Rakell	R	PIT	54	25	32	216
72	Sidney Crosby	C	PIT	89	33	52	213
73	Evgeni Malkin	C	PIT	76	29	50	212
74	Chris Kreider	L	ANA	54	33	24	212
75	Troy Terry	R	ANA	67	30	38	211
76	Thomas Chabot	D	OTT	53	12	41	210
77	Bryan Rust	R	PIT	56	25	33	207
78	Vladimir Tarasenko	R	MIN	60	26	41	206
79	Sean Couturier	C	PHI	56	27	35	206
80	Johnny Gaudreau	L	CBJ	87	28	53	206
81	Brandon Montour	D	SEA	56	13	39	206
82	Evan Rodrigues	C	FLA	40	18	24	205
83	Dylan Cozens	C	OTT	63	23	35	205
84	Brad Marchand	L	FLA	83	30	47	204
85	Shea Theodore	D	VGK	55	14	44	204
86	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	C	EDM	76	24	54	204
87	Jared McCann	L	SEA	60	28	30	203
88	Brock Boeser	R	VAN	58	25	35	203
89	Mathew Barzal	C	NYI	69	22	48	203
90	J.T. Miller	C	NYR	85	30	53	202
91	Roope Hintz	C	DAL	79	33	42	202
92	Trevor Zegras	C	PHI	68	24	43	202
93	Rasmus Dahlin	D	BUF	61	13	48	201
94	Miro Heiskanen	D	DAL	59	10	48	201
95	Sam Reinhart	C	FLA	69	33	39	201
96	Vincent Trocheck	C	NYR	59	23	37	200
97	Alex Pietrangelo	D	VGK	50	13	35	200
98	Darnell Nurse	D	EDM	43	14	28	199
99	Erik Karlsson	D	PIT	65	19	46	198
100	Kevin Hayes	R	PIT	51	17	33	198