NHL Projections · Goals

Skaters · 2023-24 (model vs actual) · per-82-GP · XGBoost + Marcel

PositionSkaters GoaliesStatPoints Goals Assists ShotsSeason2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Projected leaders · Top 100

2023-24 P50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	P	G ↓	A	SOG
1	Connor McDavid	C	EDM	128	56	81	347
2	Auston Matthews	C	TOR	105	53	53	359
3	Leon Draisaitl	C	EDM	121	48	75	243
4	David Pastrnak	R	BOS	98	47	57	354
5	Mikko Rantanen	R	DAL	115	47	61	287
6	Kirill Kaprizov	L	MIN	100	45	48	283
7	Alex Ovechkin	L	WSH	82	43	35	307
8	Nathan MacKinnon	C	COL	117	43	77	376
9	Jason Robertson	L	DAL	97	43	61	278
10	Jack Hughes	C	NJD	92	42	56	324
11	Brayden Point	C	TBL	86	42	45	219
12	Aleksander Barkov	C	FLA	103	39	61	261
13	Jake Guentzel	C	TBL	82	38	47	252
14	Steven Stamkos	C	NSH	84	38	50	227
15	Kyle Connor	L	WPG	83	38	45	266
16	Sebastian Aho	C	CAR	79	37	42	229
17	Brady Tkachuk	L	OTT	78	36	40	353
18	Elias Pettersson	C	VAN	86	36	53	243
19	Timo Meier	R	NJD	74	35	35	326
20	Tim Stützle	C	OTT	80	34	48	221
21	Alex DeBrincat	R	DET	73	34	36	251
22	Mitch Marner	R	VGK	112	34	71	228
23	Cole Caufield	R	MTL	63	34	27	264
24	Filip Forsberg	L	NSH	81	34	46	260
25	Sam Reinhart	C	FLA	69	33	39	201
26	Chris Kreider	L	ANA	54	33	24	212
27	Mark Scheifele	C	WPG	78	33	41	197
28	Roope Hintz	C	DAL	79	33	42	202
29	William Nylander	R	TOR	82	33	44	256
30	Clayton Keller	R	UTA	81	33	44	221
31	Matthew Tkachuk	L	FLA	103	33	65	275
32	Adrian Kempe	R	LAK	60	33	27	225
33	Sidney Crosby	C	PIT	89	33	52	213
34	Bo Horvat	C	NYI	64	32	33	221
35	Mika Zibanejad	C	NYR	86	32	51	219
36	Evander Kane	L	EDM	64	32	32	277
37	Nikita Kucherov	R	TBL	104	32	72	262
38	Jordan Kyrou	R	STL	75	32	41	247
39	Dylan Larkin	C	DET	77	32	47	239
40	Matt Boldy	L	MIN	70	32	40	252
41	Travis Konecny	R	PHI	68	32	40	246
42	Carter Verhaeghe	C	FLA	65	31	32	231
43	Andrei Svechnikov	R	CAR	73	31	42	250
44	Alex Tuch	R	BUF	74	31	43	231
45	Kevin Fiala	L	LAK	78	31	46	240
46	Tage Thompson	C	BUF	66	31	33	254
47	Brock Nelson	C	COL	68	31	35	193
48	Jeff Skinner	L	EDM	66	31	37	225
49	Pavel Buchnevich	L	STL	81	31	50	178
50	Patrik Laine	R	MTL	74	31	40	255
51	Jack Eichel	C	VGK	72	30	46	259
52	Zach Hyman	L	EDM	71	30	40	241
53	Troy Terry	R	ANA	67	30	38	211
54	Andrei Kuzmenko	L	LAK	65	30	35	155
55	J.T. Miller	C	NYR	85	30	53	202
56	Brad Marchand	L	FLA	83	30	47	204
57	Matt Duchene	C	DAL	65	29	37	194
58	Jake DeBrusk	L	VAN	54	29	26	224
59	Nikolaj Ehlers	L	CAR	73	29	39	266
60	Drake Batherson	R	OTT	68	29	41	229
61	Evgeni Malkin	C	PIT	76	29	50	212
62	Jared McCann	L	SEA	60	28	30	203
63	Pierre-Luc Dubois	C	WSH	64	28	37	226
64	Jakub Vrana	L	NSH	52	28	21	184
65	Johnny Gaudreau	L	CBJ	87	28	53	206
66	Joel Eriksson Ek	C	MIN	58	28	34	235
67	Valeri Nichushkin	R	COL	63	27	37	233
68	Jesper Bratt	L	NJD	75	27	44	217
69	Jonathan Marchessault	C	NSH	58	27	33	238
70	John Tavares	C	TOR	74	27	44	249
71	Elias Lindholm	C	BOS	67	27	37	186
72	Sean Couturier	C	PHI	56	27	35	206
73	Artemi Panarin	L	LAK	100	27	68	193
74	Cale Makar	D	COL	92	27	70	252
75	Nick Schmaltz	C	UTA	75	26	45	176
76	Brandon Hagel	L	TBL	57	26	31	174
77	Tyler Toffoli	C	SJS	61	26	33	235
78	Sam Bennett	C	FLA	54	26	29	249
79	Vladimir Tarasenko	R	MIN	60	26	41	206
80	Martin Necas	C	COL	64	26	41	226
81	Brayden Schenn	C	STL	64	26	38	145
82	Anders Lee	L	NYI	51	26	22	193
83	Brock Boeser	R	VAN	58	25	35	203
84	Rickard Rakell	R	PIT	54	25	32	216
85	Bryan Rust	R	PIT	56	25	33	207
86	Cam Atkinson	R	TBL	46	25	24	227
87	Nazem Kadri	C	COL	62	25	36	248
88	Viktor Arvidsson	L	BOS	55	25	31	242
89	Nico Hischier	C	NJD	66	24	38	192
90	Boone Jenner	C	CBJ	48	24	23	227
91	Tomas Hertl	C	VGK	60	24	34	182
92	Nick Suzuki	C	MTL	63	24	38	176
93	Mark Stone	R	VGK	72	24	46	187
94	Daniel Sprong	R	NJD	42	24	21	188
95	Logan Couture	C	SJS	55	24	32	183
96	Adam Henrique	C	EDM	51	24	24	167
97	Owen Tippett	R	PHI	48	24	24	220
98	Patrick Kane	R	DET	69	24	46	229
99	Trevor Zegras	C	PHI	68	24	43	202
100	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	C	EDM	76	24	54	204