MIA126
@111ATL
Final
Fri, Dec 26, 2025 · State Farm Arena
Model Projection
✓ WinnerModel picked MIA · 54%
| Projected vs Final | Proj | Final | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 119.4 | 126 | 6.6 |
| ATL | 118.2 | 111 | 7.2 |
| Margin | -1.2 | -15 | 13.8 |
| Total | 237.6 | 237 | 0.6 |
Margin & total from the home perspective (+ favors ATL). “Miss” = points off.
Miami Heat
126
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman PowellG | 33 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9-16 | 2-8 | 5-5 | +2 |
| Kel'el WareC | 33 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | +6 |
| Andrew WigginsF | 32 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | +21 |
| Pelle LarssonG | 30 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | +2 |
| Davion MitchellG | 29 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | +15 |
| Bench | |||||||||||
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.F | 28 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 5-6 | +16 |
| Nikola JovicF | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 3-3 | +12 |
| Dru SmithG | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 |
| Kasparas JakucionisG | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | +1 |
| Total | 241 | 126 | 52 | 29 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 49-104 | 11-36 | 17-18 | |
Atlanta Hawks
111
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen JohnsonF | 38 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10-17 | 1-6 | 3-4 | -5 |
| Dyson DanielsG | 36 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -14 |
| Onyeka OkongwuF | 35 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 2-2 | -15 |
| Trae YoungG | 32 | 30 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8-16 | 5-8 | 9-9 | -1 |
| Zaccharie RisacherF | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | -18 |
| Bench | |||||||||||
| Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG | 32 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | -6 |
| Vit KrejciG | 22 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | -4 |
| Asa NewellF | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -13 |
| Mouhamed GueyeF | 11 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-5 | +3 |
| Keaton WallaceG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -2 |
| Total | 241 | 111 | 42 | 26 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 40-85 | 12-36 | 19-21 | |