Pro Baseball Terminal — MLB projections, standings & analytics

Yuki Matsui

P · SD

30 yrs

Pitcher

Description

Position: P
Team: SD
Type: Pitcher
Bats: Left
Throws: Left
Born: 1995-10-30
Age: 30
Country: Japan
Height: 5'8"
Weight: 165 lb
Last active: 2026

Career Résumé

3 seasons

Seasons	3 2024–2026
Games	142
W-L	7-4
ERA	3.46
WHIP	1.22
IP	151
SO	158
SV	1

Pitching Projections

2026 · per ~700 BF

Stat	Proj	Range (p10–p90)	vs LY
SO	167	131–196	+2
BB	76	56–96	+3
HR	22	12–34	-1
Hits	140	118–165	+2
ER	72	52–96	-1

Pitching

Regular season

Season	Tm	W	L	ERA	WHIP	G	SV	IP	SO	BB	HR	ER	xERA	Brl%
2026	SD	0	1	1.46	1.01	17	0	24.2	28	12	3	4	3.46	10.8%
2025	SD	3	1	3.98	1.36	61	1	63.1	61	33	10	28	4.07	9.0%
2024	SD	4	2	3.73	1.16	64	0	62.2	69	27	8	26	2.94	6.8%

Season	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	E	FLD%	RF/9	OAA
2026	P	15	22.0	2	2	1	.800	1.64	—
2025	P	61	63.1	4	2	0	1.000	0.85	—
2024	P	64	62.2	1	4	1	.833	0.72	—

Date		Opp	Res
2026-06-28	vs	LAD	L
2026-06-26	vs	LAD	W
2026-06-23	vs	ATL	W
2026-06-21	@	TEX	L
2026-06-19	@	TEX	L

Date		Opp	Res	Dec	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	Pit
2026-06-28	vs	LAD	L	ND	1.2	1	0	0	0	0	2	28
2026-06-26	vs	LAD	W	H	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	0	11
2026-06-23	vs	ATL	W	ND	2.1	3	1	1	1	1	3	35
2026-06-21	@	TEX	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	1	17
2026-06-19	@	TEX	L	ND	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	3	34
2026-06-16	@	STL	L	ND	1.1	1	0	0	0	1	1	23
2026-06-13	@	BAL	W	ND	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	2	14
2026-06-09	vs	CIN	L	L	1.0	1	2	1	1	0	1	14
2026-06-07	vs	NYM	L	ND	1.2	2	2	2	2	0	1	25
2026-06-05	vs	NYM	L	ND	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1	3
2026-06-04	@	PHI	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	2	19
2026-06-02	@	PHI	L	ND	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	1	11
2026-05-31	@	WSH	L	ND	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	12
2026-05-29	@	WSH	W	ND	2.0	1	1	1	0	0	1	22
2026-05-25	vs	PHI	L	ND	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	1	25
2026-05-20	vs	LAD	L	ND	1.1	1	0	0	0	2	2	33
2026-05-17	@	SEA	W	ND	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	2	33
2026-05-14	@	MIL	L	ND	2.0	0	0	0	0	1	3	26
2026-05-12	@	MIL	L	ND	2.0	1	0	0	0	0	3	25
2026-05-08	vs	STL	L	ND	2.2	3	0	0	0	1	2	38

Pitching Profile2026 · vs 168

K/9

10.289

BB/9

4.410

HR/9

1.149

ERA

1.4699

WHIP

1.0188

xERA

3.4679

Brl%A

10.8%14

PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league

Career Highs

Stat	Best	Year
Wins	4	2024
SO	69	2024
SV	1	2025
ERA	1.46	2026
WHIP	1.01	2026

Comparable Players

2025 · stat-profile similarity

Keegan AkinBAL31y
3.41 ERA · 59 K · 1.37 WHIP
92%
vs
Taylor RogersCHC35y
3.38 ERA · 53 K · 1.38 WHIP
85%
vs
Ian HamiltonNYY31y
4.28 ERA · 42 K · 1.25 WHIP
85%
vs
Cole HenryWSH26y
4.27 ERA · 52 K · 1.42 WHIP
84%
vs
Kaleb OrtHOU34y
4.89 ERA · 49 K · 1.35 WHIP
83%
vs

Career Arc

ERA by season · taller = better

Year over Year

pitching trajectory

Yr	Tm	W	ERA	WHIP	SO	IP
24	SD	4	3.73	1.16	69	63
25	SD	3▼	3.98▲	1.36▲	61▼	63▲
26	SD	0▼	1.46▼	1.01▼	28▼	25▼

Career Milestones

chase to the next mark

Wins7

43 to 50

Strikeouts158

842 to 1,000

Saves1

99 to 100

Season

Pitch Arsenal

2025 · Statcast

Pitch	Use	Velo	Spin
4-Seam	40%	92.1	2438
Splitter	32%	84.0	1170
Slider	16%	86.6	2653
Sweeper	11%	81.4	2870
Sinker	2%	91.5	2211

Plate Discipline

2025 · induced

30.0%

Chase

lg 28.5%

71.7%

Z-Swing

lg 67%

28.1%

Whiff

lg 24.5%

71.9%

Contact

lg 76%

45.5%

Zone

lg 48.5%

25.6%

CSW

lg 28%

1,097 pitches · green/red vs league avg

Statcast Trend

xERA by season · taller = better

Barrel% Against by season · taller = better

Per game	5.1
Ceiling (90th)	8.7
Floor (10th)	1.5
Std dev	2.8
Boom rate	15%
Bust rate	20%
Profile	Moderate